Hop Stocks Fall as Brewer Demand Remains Uneven

Lower hop stocks may support prices in the near term.

farm to tap gfx.jpg

Market Day Report

WASHINGTON, D.C. (RFD NEWS) — U.S. hop inventories declined heading into spring, reflecting tighter supplies and shifting demand across brewing markets as producers monitor inventory levels and pricing trends. The latest USDA data highlights continued adjustment in hop stocks following earlier surpluses.

USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service reported March 1 hop stocks totaled 147 million pounds, down about 13% from 169 million pounds a year ago. Stocks held by growers and dealers accounted for 127 million pounds, while brewers held about 20 million pounds, both lower than last year.

Operationally, the drawdown suggests brewers and distributors continue working through inventories built during stronger production cycles. Lower stocks may also reflect more cautious purchasing tied to softer craft beer demand and changing consumption patterns across domestic markets.

Regionally, nearly all U.S. hop production is concentrated in Washington, Oregon, and Idaho, meaning inventory shifts directly affect growers and processors across the Pacific Northwest supply chain.

Looking ahead, producers will watch brewery demand trends and acreage decisions closely, as tighter inventories could support prices if beer production stabilizes during 2026.

Related Stories
ARC-CO delivers the bulk of 2024 support, offering key margin relief as producers manage tight operating conditions.
Higher menu prices and tax-free tips are reshaping restaurant economics, sharply lifting server take-home pay even as diners face higher out-the-door costs.
USDA’s steady yields and heavy global stocks keep grains range-bound unless demand firms or South American weather becomes a real threat.
As economic pressures continue to squeeze agriculture, ag lenders are signaling a more cautious outlook for farm profitability heading into next year, particularly among grain producers facing lower commodity prices and higher operating costs.
USDA released the November WASDE Report on Friday, the first supply-and-demand estimate to drop since September, just before the 43-day government shutdown.
Some sustainability shifts are not particularly challenging and can be implemented with resources already available to farmers and ranchers on their operations.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Record yields are cushioning production declines, but softer prices underscore the importance of cost control and market timing for vegetable growers.
Cuba remains a small but dependable, cash-only outlet for U.S. grain and food products.
Expanding cheese exports are strengthening U.S. milk demand and reinforcing global competitiveness.
Strong global demand and falling stocks suggest continued price volatility for U.S. coffee buyers despite record world production.
U.S. dairy producers remain the primary growth engine globally, while tightening supplies in Europe and New Zealand could support export demand for American dairy products.
Fewer acres and stronger prices suggest disciplined hop production is supporting market balance despite lower output.
Agriculture Shows
Special 3-part series tells the story of the Claas family’s legacy, which changed agriculture forever.
From soil to harvest. Top Crop is an all-new series about four of the best farmers in the world—Dan Luepkes, of Oregan, Illinois; Cory Atley, of Cedarville, Ohio; Shelby Fite, of Jackson Center, Ohio; Russell Hedrick, of Hickory, North Carolina—reveals what it takes for them to make a profitable crop. It all starts with good soil, patience, and a strong planter setup.
Champions of Rural America is a half-hour dive into the legislative priorities for Rural America. Join us as we interview members of the Congressional Western Caucus to learn about efforts in Washington to preserve agriculture and tackles the most important topics in the ag industry on Champions of Rural America!
Featuring members of Congress, federal and state officials, ag and food leaders, farmers, and roundtable panelists for debates and discussions.