Market analysts on trade with China: “It’s not going to change on a whim”

As U.S. leaders work to secure more trade deals, there is still some hope that China will return to the U.S. soybean market.

The Senior Market Analyst for Barchart, and frequent Market Day Report guest, Darin Newsom says it might not happen again in our lifetimes.

“No, the U.S. is not going to regain its foothold. There’s nothing that’s going to happen that’s going to change that again. This is long-term damage that has been done in trade relations. Long-term to China is not what the U.S. thinks, which is hours to maybe days; it’s a very short attention span. The U.S. is known for its ADHD. China, long-term, is centuries, so you know, we’re not dealing with something that’s just going to change on a whim, much like what we see happening here in the U.S. So, no, the U.S. isn’t going to immediately jump back into the game. it’s going to take a long time to rebuild any sort of demand coming from China.”

Finding a trade balance with China has been a top priority for the Administration this week. Several cabinet members just returned from London after meeting with Chinese officials. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent was part of that delegation, who is testifying before the House and Ways Committee currently.

Related Stories
USDA raised exports by $2.5 billion from February, while imports are forecast at $205.5 billion. The resulting $29 billion agricultural trade deficit remains a reminder that higher shipments alone do not resolve trade pressure.
Corn is the clear export leader heading into summer.
The U.S. Meat Export Federation says the agreement could be used to improve market access for American beef and pork producers in Africa.
Industry leaders highlighted trade concerns, export opportunities and the importance of maintaining momentum behind the agreement.
RealAg Radio host Shaun Haney joins us to discuss Canada’s livestock import restrictions, producer reaction to the New World screwworm detection in Texas, and the potential implications for cross-border livestock trade.
HTS Commodities’ Lewis Williamson joins us to recap USDA’s latest Crop Progress Report, troubling winter wheat conditions, and key market factors shaping the markets as the growing season progresses.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

United Soybean Board Director and Missouri farmer Kyle Durham joins us to discuss farmer sentiment, alternative revenue programs, conservation incentives, domestic demand trends, and conditions on his farm this spring.
Secretary Rollins says the first U.S. calf infected with screwworm responded to treatment and is back to full health.
United Sorghum Checkoff’s Lanier Dabruzzi joins us to discuss National Sorghum Month, consumer awareness, and the increasing demand for sorghum used in gluten-free snacks.
Industry estimates suggest approximately 500 million sterile flies per week may be required to fully eradicate the pest.