NASHVILLE, TENN. (RFD NEWS) — New analysis from the Minneapolis Federal Reserve suggests tariffs are not the main reason goods prices remain elevated, raising broader concerns for input costs across agriculture and rural economies.
Economists found core goods inflation continues to run above historical averages, but price increases do not align with where tariffs should have the biggest impact. Some goods with high tariff exposure have seen limited inflation, while others with low tariffs have posted stronger price gains.
The report estimates tariffs are contributing only about 0.5 percentage points to overall inflation, meaning other factors — including supply chain shifts, demand changes, and pricing behavior — are playing a larger role. Inflation in goods remains elevated at roughly 1.9% year-over-year, well above pre-pandemic norms.
For agriculture, that disconnect matters. Equipment, inputs, and consumer goods tied to farm operations may continue rising in cost even if tariff pressures ease, complicating budgeting decisions.
The findings also suggest that some price increases may still be working their way through the system, especially as inventories turn and contracts reset.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Input costs may stay elevated beyond tariff impacts.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Transportation access, legal disputes, and fertilizer freight costs will directly influence input pricing and grain movement in 2026.
December 16, 2025 01:37 PM
·
Analysts say that while low-income households are facing financial pressures, other middle- and higher-income consumers are helping fill the gap for retail beef demand.
December 16, 2025 12:44 PM
·
Despite China’s sharp drop in grain purchases this year, new USDA export data this week shows that even some buying activity from the trade giant still moves the markets.
December 16, 2025 12:20 PM
·
Plans are underway for the 27th annual Great Eastern Iowa Tractorcade, a June event celebrating farm heritage, tractor history, and rural traditions. Event manager Matt Kenney joins us to highlight the importance of commemorating farm heritage.
December 15, 2025 02:02 PM
·
Fertilizer markets face uncertainty after President Trump raised the possibility of tariffs on Canadian imports, with analysts warning of supply and pricing risks. Josh Linville with StoneX provides a fertilizer industry outlook.
December 15, 2025 01:35 PM
·
A new study found that retaining the EPA’s half-RIN credit protects soybean demand, farm income, and crushing-sector strength while preserving biofuel market flexibility.
December 15, 2025 12:15 PM
·
