Beef prices have been on a run lately, and processors are feeling the pinch. To cut costs and recover profits, many are turning to poultry.
Tyson estimates they will see earnings go up around $100 million this year, and the gains are driven by a positive view on the chicken business. Company leaders say it comes as consumers look for cheaper alternatives to beef.
They also say grains have been readily available this year, which helps keep feed costs manageable.
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Protein markets are fragmenting. Beef is supply-driven and more structurally expensive, whereas pork and poultry remain price-competitive.
Tight fed supplies shift margin risk to packers, strengthening cattle price leverage but increasing volatility.
Expanding chicken supplies are likely to keep prices under pressure in early 2026 despite steady demand growth.
Reduced winter placements indicate tighter fed cattle supplies and greater leverage during peak-demand months.
Federal nutrition policy is signaling a stronger demand for whole foods produced by U.S. farmers and ranchers. Consumer-facing guidance favors animal protein, but institutional demand may change little under existing saturated fat limits.
Retail pricing confirms tight cattle supplies and supports continued leverage for producers, reinforcing the need for disciplined risk management.
Seasonal boxed beef softness does not change the tight-supply outlook — leverage remains closer to the farm gate heading into 2026.
The U.S. Meat Export Federation plans to expand its global market presence in the New Year and says it is focusing its appeal on the growing middle class worldwide.
Preserving equity through active risk management remains critical in a volatile, supply-driven market.