New Farmers Grow in Number But Face Higher Risk and Land Access Challenges

Risk management and diversification improve survival odds. Heidi Exline with American Farmland Trust discusses barriers to farmland access and efforts to connect the next generation of producers with retiring farmers.

SELECTS_FARMHER_ 19_12_19_USA_ALL_VARIOUS_0206.jpg

Photo by Marji Guyler-Alaniz / FarmHER, Inc.

WESTBURY, N.Y. (RFD NEWS) — New research from the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) Economic Research Service highlights both the challenges and opportunities facing beginning farmers and ranchers as they work to establish long-term operations.

Farms operated by beginning producers tend to be smaller, with fewer assets and lower overall debt levels. These operations are more likely to rent land, sell through local or niche markets, and receive fewer government payments compared to more established farms.

However, survival rates remain slightly lower. Operations led entirely by beginning farmers were 2 to 3 percentage points less likely to survive over a 10-year period compared to farms that included more experienced producers.

The report identifies several factors tied to higher success rates. Beginning farmers who participate in crop insurance programs, utilize USDA support programs, and diversify into value-added or local markets tend to improve their chances of long-term survival.

More than one million beginning farmers currently operate across 196 million acres, making their success critical to the future of U.S. agriculture as the farming population continues to age.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Risk management and diversification improve survival odds.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist

Access to farmland remains one of the biggest barriers facing aspiring producers, while transitioning out of farming can also present challenges that put valuable farmland at risk. Heidi Exline with American Farmland Trust joined us on Wednesday’s Market Day Report to discuss efforts aimed at addressing farmland access and long-term land transition.

In her interview with RFD NEWS, Exline spoke about the challenges new and beginning farmers face in accessing farmland, as well as the broader implications those barriers can have for agricultural production. She also addressed concerns about farmland being lost without clear pathways for transition to the next generation of producers.

Exline also highlighted the work of the American Farmland Trust in New York and New Jersey to support farmland access and strengthen transition opportunities for retiring and beginning farmers.

Finally, she discussed what she has seen as key factors in creating successful matches between younger farmers seeking land and older farmers preparing to transition out of production.

Related Stories
Richard Gupton of the Agricultural Retailers Association explains a new resource designed to help farmers comply with ESA-related pesticide label requirements.
Crop producers face tightening credit and lower incomes, while strong cattle markets continue to stabilize finances in livestock-heavy regions.
Supplemental Disaster Relief Program Stage Two will disburse around $16 billion, approved by Congress last year. Sign-ups begin Monday, and producers have until April to return applications.
Row crop losses in 2025 are outpacing last year. With no disaster aid yet approved, many operations face a tough financial bridge to 2026 even as Farm Bill improvements remain a year away.
Experts say farmers and ethanol producers would benefit from a risk-based ILUC system that protects forests without relying on speculative modeling.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Higher ethanol blend rates translate directly into stronger, more durable corn demand if regulatory momentum holds.
Long-term demand uncertainty is reshaping specialty crop strategies as producers adapt to fewer, older consumers.
Seasonal boxed beef softness does not change the tight-supply outlook — leverage remains closer to the farm gate heading into 2026.
FarmHER Nikki Boxler, aka The Maple Farmer, blends tradition with innovation, tapping into a bold new future for maple syrup.
Trade uncertainty—especially regarding soybeans—continues to weigh on future outlooks, even as farm finances and land values remain resilient.
Strong export demand supports feed grain prices, but drought risk and seasonal patterns favor disciplined early-year marketing.