Ongoing drought could spell lower future cattle supplies

According to the latest Cattle on Feed report, drought brought placement numbers lower.

Drought conditions across the U.S. continue to have an impact on the cattle markets, according to recently published data.

Farm Bureau economists say the most recent Cattle on Feed report was bullish with total cattle on feed down a percent from last year. Bert Nelson points out that states impacted by drought had lower placement numbers, and that could mean lower cattle supplies in the future.

“This is likely due to some tighter calf supplies along with higher feed and input costs amplified by the drought conditions. We’ve seen marketings for fed cattle totaling 1.86 million head for September, this is four percent above this time in 2021. Now, when we really see marketing high and placements become lower over a longer drawn-out period of time, this really signals that lower cattle supplies are in the future,” said Nelson.

USDA numbers show beef slaughter is up, which Nelson says shows that packers need to get cattle in to meet current demand. He says when supplies tighten up and demand remains consistent, we should see prices follow suit.

Related Stories
Janie ventures to the desert in Prescott, Arizona for cattle branding at the 7UP ranch with Penny Kasun & Dani Jeanne Lawrence.
Janie camps out on the historic YP Ranch with the operation’s matriarch, RanchHER Renee Jackson, her family, and a talented crew of cowboys as they wrap up part of branding season on their remote and expansive operation located on the state line of Nevada and Idaho.
Janie camps out at the remote State Line of Nevada & Idaho with Renee Jackson, wrapping up branding season at the historic YP ranch.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

API said it stands ready to work with Congress to develop a balanced approach to E15 legislation that promotes fuel choice, supports investment certainty, and contributes to a stable and fair marketplace for American consumers.
Lawmakers are pressing for answers on how Washington’s “managed trade” approach — keeping leverage through long-term tariffs — will affect farmers, global markets, and future export opportunities.
In the meantime, Senate Majority Leader John Thune is asking that farmers be allowed to use marketing assistance loans to help stay afloat.
Beef industry groups seem to agree — market-based pricing, not federal intervention, best supports rancher livelihoods and long-term beef supply stability.
Cattle groups say additional imports would offer little relief for consumers but could erode rancher confidence as the industry begins to rebuild herds.