WASHINGTON, D.C. (RFD NEWS) — Broiler and egg production are increasing in 2026, but weaker export demand and softer prices are creating mixed conditions across the poultry sector, according to the USDA’s latest Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook.
Broiler production is forecast to rise 1.9 percent to 48.9 billion pounds, supported by higher slaughter rates and heavier bird weights. Early-year indicators, including chick placements and hatch rates, point to continued production growth in the months ahead.
Despite increased output, exports are trending lower. Broiler shipments declined early in the year, with reduced demand from key markets like Mexico, Cuba, and Taiwan only partially offset by gains in countries such as Vietnam and the Philippines. Total 2026 exports are projected to be slightly lower than last year.
Prices are also under pressure. Broiler prices are expected to average lower in 2026, reflecting increased supply and softer demand.
In the egg sector, production is rebounding sharply as flocks recover, pushing prices significantly lower compared to last year. Turkey production and exports are increasing, supported by the recovery from prior disease impacts.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Rising poultry supply is pressuring prices despite steady demand.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Heavier weights and strong late-year slaughter supported December production, but lower annual totals highlight ongoing supply tightness heading into 2026.
January 26, 2026 11:19 AM
·
Strong production and rising stocks may pressure ethanol margins unless demand or exports continue to improve.
January 26, 2026 10:00 AM
·
Rising import pressure and tougher export competition are likely to persist into 2026, supporting domestic supplies while capping export growth.
January 26, 2026 09:56 AM
·
Placements and marketings beat expectations, but declining on-feed totals and feeder constraints keep the supply story supportive for cattle prices into 2026. Dr. Derrell Peel, with Oklahoma State University, joined us to break down cattle-on-feed numbers and provide his broader market outlook.
January 23, 2026 04:40 PM
·
USDA Rural Development Director for Kentucky, Travis Burton, joined us to discuss the Princeton facility (formerly Porter Road Meats), now backed by the USDA, and its role in expanding domestic meat processing capacity.
January 23, 2026 03:39 PM
·
Mike Steenhoek with the Soy Transportation Coalition discusses supply chain challenges facing agriculture as snow, sleet and ice threaten most of the Eastern U.S.
January 23, 2026 01:36 PM
·