Poultry Production Expands While Prices and Exports Face Pressure

Rising poultry supply is pressuring prices despite steady demand.

A photo of two little boys playing inside a greenhouse with farm animals including chickens, ducks and a fluffy white farm dog.

FarmHER Jen Welch (Season 1, Episode 2)

FarmHER, Inc.

WASHINGTON, D.C. (RFD NEWS) — Broiler and egg production are increasing in 2026, but weaker export demand and softer prices are creating mixed conditions across the poultry sector, according to the USDA’s latest Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook.

Broiler production is forecast to rise 1.9 percent to 48.9 billion pounds, supported by higher slaughter rates and heavier bird weights. Early-year indicators, including chick placements and hatch rates, point to continued production growth in the months ahead.

Despite increased output, exports are trending lower. Broiler shipments declined early in the year, with reduced demand from key markets like Mexico, Cuba, and Taiwan only partially offset by gains in countries such as Vietnam and the Philippines. Total 2026 exports are projected to be slightly lower than last year.

Prices are also under pressure. Broiler prices are expected to average lower in 2026, reflecting increased supply and softer demand.

In the egg sector, production is rebounding sharply as flocks recover, pushing prices significantly lower compared to last year. Turkey production and exports are increasing, supported by the recovery from prior disease impacts.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Rising poultry supply is pressuring prices despite steady demand.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Related Stories
Traders are keeping a close eye on China’s soybean purchases as markets track export sales, shipments, and progress toward the ‘magical’ 12 million ton target promised last year.
Winter Weather, Drought Shape Early 2026 Farm Conditions
As domestic production and blending slowed, export demand remained a clear bright spot.
Protein markets are fragmenting. Beef is supply-driven and more structurally expensive, whereas pork and poultry remain price-competitive.
Tight fed supplies shift margin risk to packers, strengthening cattle price leverage but increasing volatility.
Expanding chicken supplies are likely to keep prices under pressure in early 2026 despite steady demand growth.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Rising production underscores the importance of marketing discipline and margin protection as milk supplies expand.
RealAg Radio host Shaun Haney explains why the 2026 USMCA review could directly affect dairy access, produce competition, and export reliability for U.S. farmers and ranchers.
Smaller U.S. production and steady global demand could provide better pricing opportunities in 2026.
Higher yields are cushioning lower acreage, but reduced production could support firmer potato prices into 2026.
Producers across the country balanced winter weather disruptions, shifting export demand, and tightening margins as year-end decisions come into focus.
Reviewing risk management now can help dairy and livestock producers enter 2026 with clearer margins and fewer surprises.
Agriculture Shows
Hosted by Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady and RFD News Markets Specialist Tony St. James, Commodity Talk delivers expert insight into the day’s ag commodity markets just before the CME opens. Only on RFD-TV and Rural Radio SiriusXM Channel 147.
A look at the news, weather and commodities headlines that drove agriculture markets in the past week.
Everything profits from prairie. Soil, air, water — and all kinds of life! Learn how you can improve your land with prairie restoration, cover crops and prairie strips, while growing your bottom line.
Special 3-part series tells the story of the Claas family’s legacy, which changed agriculture forever.