President Trump, Xi Phone Call Sends Soybean Markets Jumping

The phone call injected optimism into the soybean market, but actual Chinese buying and its timing will ultimately determine the extent of U.S. agricultural export benefits.

WASHINGTON, D.C. (RFD NEWS) — President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping held a high-profile phone call focused on diplomatic and economic issues, including potential increases in China’s purchases of U.S. soybeans, a topic that sent soybean futures sharply higher in early trading after Trump’s announcement.

The call, described by Trump as “very positive,” touched on trade, security issues, and plans for future engagement between the two leaders.

Trump took to his Truth Social platform following the call, posting that he had just completed an “excellent” conversation with Xi in which they discussed a range of subjects — including trade, Taiwan, and agricultural purchases — and said China was considering buying about 20 million metric tons of U.S. soybeans this season and up to 25 million metric tons next season.

That post helped spark an intra-day rally in soybean futures, bringing prices to their highest levels of 2026 before settling back somewhat later in the session.

While Trump emphasized the strength of his personal relationship with Xi and framed China’s interest in U.S. agricultural purchases as a positive outcome, the Chinese government’s statements focused on broader diplomatic concerns, such as Taiwan and regional stability, and offered no specific confirmation of purchase commitments from Beijing.

Market analysts noted that despite the rally, China’s actual buying behavior remains uncertain, particularly given ongoing competition from cheaper Brazilian soybeans and structural trade patterns that have shifted China’s import mix in recent years.

Farm-Level Takeaway: The phone call injected optimism into the soybean market, but actual Chinese buying and its timing will ultimately determine the extent of U.S. agricultural export benefits.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Related Stories
Disease risks remain a key factor to watch heading into fall.
For rural communities, this shift could mean new housing options for farmworkers and young families priced out of metro markets.
Sen. Roger Marshall, a founding member and chairman of the Make America Healthy Again caucus, joined us with his thoughts on the commission’s latest report and the key ag-related issues.
Grain shippers face lower freight values thanks to weak soybean exports and strong rail service, but barge traffic and forward Gulf loadings suggest continued uncertainty as harvest ramps up.
California rancher and former NCBA President Kevin Kester joined House Republicans on Tuesday to tout provisions in the Big, Beautiful Bill that support family ranches.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Aimee Bissell discusses Iowa planting progress, weather conditions, fertilizer costs, and concerns over early crop development.
Farm CPA Paul Neiffer discusses SDRP payment limits and offers advice for those seeking higher limits.
Farmers are closely watching upcoming U.S.-China trade talks as rising fertilizer and diesel costs continue to pressure exports, margins, and rural economies.
Dr. David Anderson says lean beef demand and lighter cow culling are still giving cull cow prices room to push higher.
Stronger overseas demand for both fuel ethanol and feed co-products continues to reinforce corn use beyond the domestic market.
The inverted Choice-Select spread is not a strong warning sign in today’s tighter, higher-quality beef market, according to new analysis from Terrain.