Rail Auctions and Fuel Costs Lift Logistics Risks

Lewis Williamson with HTS Commodities discusses how tensions in the Middle East are impacting producer’s spring planting decisions.

MEMPHIS, TENN. (RFD NEWS) — Higher rail auction premiums and surging fuel costs are raising transportation risks for grain shippers — tightening margins for producers tied to export-driven markets.

BNSF held its first auction for 2026/27 crop-year shuttle contracts on March 11, selling 35 shuttles for about $49 million. Winning bids ranged from $1.3 million to $1.5 million and averaged roughly $1.4 million, equal to about $424 per car per trip, assuming typical utilization. BNSF plans to offer 140 shuttles again this year, with another auction scheduled for March 18.

For producers, fuel costs remain a major concern. The U.S. diesel price jumped to $4.859 per gallon for the week ending March 9 — the largest weekly increase on record — driven by higher global crude prices and tightening supplies.

Across global shipping, bunker fuel prices surged sharply, pushing ocean freight rates higher. Grain shipping costs to Japan rose on both Gulf and Pacific Northwest routes, reflecting higher vessel operating costs and tightening supply chains.

Looking ahead, strong grain demand and steady rail volumes — up 5 percent year over year — suggest logistics costs will remain a key factor shaping marketing margins.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Rising logistics costs could pressure grain marketing margins.
Tony St. James, RFD News Market Specialist

Lewis Williamson with HTS Commodities joined us on Tuesday’s Market Day Report to discuss spring fieldwork as it advances across the country.

In his interview with RFD News, Williamson said mixed weather and input price trends are still top of mind for farmers as planting preparation ramp up.

“Corn planners are sitting on go,” Williamson said. “I look at the temperature this weekend and things are really going to warm up. I expect by this first of next week we will certainly see corn being put in the ground as far north as Memphis. It’s an exciting time for the producer.”

Williamson also noted that Urea prices continue to be a concern amid ongoing conflicts with Iran as well as oil stocks reaching a disappointing high.

Related Stories
Kevin Charleston of Specialty Risk Insurance discusses the importance of grain bin safety and joint efforts with Nationwide to provide farmers and first responders with access to critical, life-saving rescue tubes.
RealAg Radio host Sean Haney outlines the Trump Administration’s current trade priorities and what meaningful market expansion looks like for farmers.
Dr. Kelly Bruns from the Nebraska College of Technical Agriculture discusses how the college prepares students for careers in agriculture.
USDA’s February WASDE report, analysts expect minimal price movement as grain stocks remain steady. Traders weigh renewed Chinese soybean purchases, South American weather, acreage shifts, and upcoming USMCA trade talks.
A transition from traditional, technology-specific subsidies toward a performance-based, technology-neutral framework
Lower freight costs helped sustain export demand amid a challenging pricing environment.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Nebraska’s largest wildfire on-record has burned 650,000 acres, with three other major fires also burning across the state, destroying pastureland and threatening cattle.
NCBA President Colin Woodall states that misinformation like this is damaging to cattle producers, the beef supply chain, and consumer confidence
President Trump issues a 60-day Jones Act waiver to ease fuel shipments amid Middle East tensions disrupting energy markets, while biofuel policy gains focus.
Acreage shifts could influence spring marketing decisions.
Corn and sorghum exports continue outperforming soybeans.
Expanding supplies are weighing on global coffee and cocoa prices.