RFD News Crop Progress, Livestock Production and Agribusiness Summary — Week of Monday, Jan. 19, 2026

U.S. agriculture entered the week with mixed signals as weather, logistics, and markets shaped early-year decisions. Here is a regional breakdown of domestic crop and livestock production for the week of Monday, Jan. 19, 2026.

Crop Progress Graphic

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD NEWS) — U.S. agriculture entered the week with mixed signals as weather, logistics, and markets shaped early-year decisions. Grain movement remained active despite transportation shifts, while livestock markets reflected tight supplies and cautious expansion. Conditions varied widely by region, underscoring localized challenges and opportunities.

Great Plains

  • Texas: Winter wheat conditions remain variable, with moisture improving in the Panhandle but dryness lingering in western counties. Feedlot placements stayed moderate as tight cattle supplies continued to support prices. Diesel prices eased slightly, helping early-year operating costs.
  • Kansas: Wheat ratings stabilized after recent moisture, though subsoil profiles remain below normal in central areas. Cattle inventories stayed tight, keeping feeder prices elevated. Rail grain shipments increased modestly, aiding winter export flow.
  • Oklahoma: Wheat benefited from recent precipitation, improving stand establishment. Stocker demand remained firm amid limited grazing availability. Input suppliers report cautious purchasing ahead of spring.

Midwest

  • Iowa: Corn and soybean stocks remain ample, with on-farm storage levels elevated. Ethanol plants continued strong run rates, supporting basis levels in some areas. Hog margins tightened as feed costs stabilized.
  • Illinois: River logistics improved, though barge traffic slowed seasonally. Farmers focused on marketing stored grain amid volatile futures. Livestock producers reported steady demand for feed grains.
  • Indiana: Corn movement picked up as processors filled nearby needs. Winter weather limited field activity, keeping attention on financial planning and input pricing for spring.

Delta & South

  • Arkansas: Rice planning continued with attention on input costs and water availability. Soybean movement slowed post-harvest, while poultry integrators maintained steady production schedules.
  • Mississippi: Grain elevators reported lighter receipts but steady outbound shipments. Cattle markets remained supported by tight national supplies. Producers monitored freight costs closely.

West & Southwest

  • California: Dairy margins remained pressured by butterfat oversupply, while protein demand continued to support milk checks. Almond growers assessed winter chill hours amid stable export demand.
  • Arizona: Vegetable harvest progressed steadily, with labor availability a continuing concern. Feedlot activity remained moderate.

Upper Midwest & Northern Plains

  • North Dakota: Grain rail shipments exceeded seasonal averages, supporting export channels. Livestock producers continued herd retention amid strong feeder demand.
  • Minnesota: Soybean marketing slowed as producers weighed storage against price risk. Dairy producers focused on protein-driven returns as processing capacity expanded.

Northwest & Northern Rockies

  • Washington: Soft white wheat movement increased through export terminals. Apple packers reported stable domestic demand.
  • Montana: Cattle markets stayed firm, supported by limited supplies. Winter conditions restricted fieldwork but aided soil moisture profiles.

Northeast

  • Pennsylvania: Dairy operations emphasized protein components in milk pricing. Hay supplies remained adequate, supporting livestock operations through winter.
  • New York: Milk production held steady, while specialty crop growers monitored energy and labor costs.

Upper Midwest & Great Lakes

  • Wisconsin: Cheese production remained strong amid ongoing investment in protein capture. Dairy cow numbers stayed elevated, contributing to steady processing volumes.
  • Michigan: Grain inventories remained manageable, with winter wheat conditions stable. Livestock feed demand held firm.

Far North & Territories

  • Alaska: Livestock operations focused on winter feed logistics. Limited grain movement continued due to seasonal transport constraints.
Related Stories
Global nitrogen and phosphate prices remain high despite improved supply fundamentals, with limited Chinese exports and stronger fall applications tightening availability.
Record output, larger stocks, and softer exports point to a well-supplied domestic ethanol market as harvest progresses.
U.S. sugar producers and processors should brace for price pressure and challenging export logistics with global sugar supply ramping up — driven by Brazil, India, and Thailand — especially at the raw processing level.
Livestock profits are propping up overall sentiment, but crop producers remain cautious amid tight margins and uncertain policy signals.
RaboResearch says China’s pivot from mass production to innovation-driven growth could reshape global pesticide supply chains — and influence prices and product access for U.S. farmers in the coming years.
Recent U.S.–China trade developments provided a small lift for soy markets, though most traders are waiting for concrete purchase data before making major moves.
According to the new report, seven out of ten rural bankers support President Trump’s recent trade steps with China, expressing cautious optimism about future export potential.
The WASDE/Crop Production combo will be the first full read on supply, demand, and yield that could move basis and hedging plans since the government shutdown more than a month ago.
A rescheduled WASDE, China’s soybean squeeze, barge bottlenecks, and premium beef demand all collide this week — with cash decisions, basis, and risk plans on the line.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Mold damage is tightening China’s corn supplies, supporting higher prices and creating potential demand for alternative feed grains in early 2026.
The new rule removes prevented-plant buy-up coverage, prompting strong objections from farm groups concerned about added risk exposure.
Tight Credit, Strong Yields Define Early December Agriculture
Lawmakers and experts react to the Administration’s long-awaited announcement of “bridge” aid to stabilize farms and offset 2025 losses until expanded safety-net programs begin in 2026.
Southern producers head into 2026 with thin margins, tighter credit, and rising agronomic risks despite scattered yield improvements.
Record yields and exceptionally low BCFM strengthen U.S. corn’s competitive position in global markets.
Agriculture Shows
Special 3-part series tells the story of the Claas family’s legacy, which changed agriculture forever.
From soil to harvest. Top Crop is an all-new series about four of the best farmers in the world—Dan Luepkes, of Oregan, Illinois; Cory Atley, of Cedarville, Ohio; Shelby Fite, of Jackson Center, Ohio; Russell Hedrick, of Hickory, North Carolina—reveals what it takes for them to make a profitable crop. It all starts with good soil, patience, and a strong planter setup.
Champions of Rural America is a half-hour dive into the legislative priorities for Rural America. Join us as we interview members of the Congressional Western Caucus to learn about efforts in Washington to preserve agriculture and tackles the most important topics in the ag industry on Champions of Rural America!
Featuring members of Congress, federal and state officials, ag and food leaders, farmers, and roundtable panelists for debates and discussions.
The goal of “Where the Food Comes From” is as simple as its name implies — host Chip Carter takes you along on the journey of where our food comes from — and we don’t just mean to the supermarket (though that’s part of the big picture!). But beyond where it comes from, how it gets there, and all the links in the chain that make that happen.