NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — The fertilizer market saw a meaningful shift this week after the Trump Administration confirmed that major fertilizers will be exempt from tariff rates — a development that immediately pressured urea values and opened the door for more normal trade flows.
According to Josh Linville of StoneX, NOLA urea dropped 6–8% on the announcement, easing one of the most significant pain points heading into spring. Some key suppliers had been facing tariffs of 30% or more, and removing those hurdles allows the U.S. to resume sourcing urea more efficiently. Linville cautions, however, that this is not a “silver bullet,” as urea still needs to trade at a level that discourages imports without incentivizing exports.
Other nitrogen markets reacted more quietly. UAN prices were steady due to limited activity and ongoing tight supply-and-demand fundamentals, and NH3 showed little movement given that the U.S. manufactures most of its own ammonia.
Phosphate saw the next-largest benefit: removing tariffs should reopen flows from Saudi Arabia, offering relief for spring, even as Russia, Morocco, and China still face other economic hurdles. Potash, sourced mainly from Canada, remains largely unaffected.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Urea and phosphate see the biggest price relief from tariff exemptions, but nitrogen markets remain tight, and spring demand will still dictate pricing momentum.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Specialist
A mid-January winter storm delivered snow, ice, and extreme cold to a broad swath of the U.S., disrupting transportation, stressing livestock systems, and adding cost and complexity to winter farm operations as producers look toward spring.
January 26, 2026 01:10 PM
·
Heavier weights and strong late-year slaughter supported December production, but lower annual totals highlight ongoing supply tightness heading into 2026.
January 26, 2026 11:19 AM
·
Strong production and rising stocks may pressure ethanol margins unless demand or exports continue to improve.
January 26, 2026 10:00 AM
·
Placements and marketings beat expectations, but declining on-feed totals and feeder constraints keep the supply story supportive for cattle prices into 2026. Dr. Derrell Peel, with Oklahoma State University, joined us to break down cattle-on-feed numbers and provide his broader market outlook.
January 23, 2026 04:40 PM
·
Americans for Prosperity Arkansas Director Ryan Norris talks energy infrastructure, regulatory reform, and the role of critical minerals in supporting rural America.
January 23, 2026 01:54 PM
·
Moderate oil prices may ease fuel costs, but continued caution in the energy sector could limit rural economic growth.
January 22, 2026 06:00 PM
·
