Ag analysts are closely watching the Middle East after threats by Iran to close the Strait of Hormuz. The relatively short marine passageway is vital to global oil shipping, and any disruptions could translate to higher oil prices.
Iran is threatening to close the 90-mile passageway after U.S. attacks on nuclear facilities there. The route is a popular choice for oil shipments, carrying around 20 million barrels of oil each day. Analysts with Hedgepoint say any jump in oil prices will hit shippers first, with fuel being one of the largest costs.
Oil prices are up around 10 percent since earlier this month. AAA currently shows the national average for a gallon of diesel is around $3.69, and one month ago, the same gallon was $3.55.
Strong White House backing supports ethanol demand, but timing now hinges on Congress resolving procedural — at the same time as they push toward a spending bill to avert another federal government shutdown.
January 28, 2026 11:35 AM
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Lewis Williamson of HTS Commodities joined us with an update on the historic winter storm impacts and his outlook on today’s ag markets.
January 27, 2026 02:39 PM
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Year-round E15 remains on the table, but procedural caution and competing regional interests pushed action into a slower, negotiated path.
January 26, 2026 01:33 PM
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Strong production and rising stocks may pressure ethanol margins unless demand or exports continue to improve.
January 26, 2026 10:00 AM
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Without additional support, many soybean operations will continue to face financial stress as they prepare for the 2026 crop.
January 26, 2026 09:41 AM
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Congressman Adrian Smith of Nebraska joined us with the latest on efforts to secure year-round E15 sales.
January 23, 2026 01:12 PM
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Moderate oil prices may ease fuel costs, but continued caution in the energy sector could limit rural economic growth.
January 22, 2026 06:00 PM
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Ethanol and corn groups are not hiding their disappointment over new reports that the bill to allow year-round E15 sales failed as Congress forges ahead on government funding, with another shutdown looming.
January 22, 2026 11:24 AM
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Oil-led rallies can move soybean prices quickly, but sustained gains will require continued strength in soybean oil and broader biofuel demand signals.
January 22, 2026 10:39 AM
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