The current tariff situation could complicate decisions on interest rates

The Federal Reserve will meet next week, and there could be an announcement on interest rates.

They are a big topic heading into planting season, but frequent Market Day Report guest and Senior Market Analyst with Barchart, Darin Newsom, says tariffs could keep rates higher for longer.

“I mean, it just happens. We saw it before when we started getting into trade wars and putting tariffs on all of our trade partners. Inflation is sparked, and then that’s what happens, and then when you tell the Fed that they’re not allowed to raise interest rates to combat inflation, which is what happened last time, then inflation tends to get out of hand. So, you know, if the Fed is going to sit back here and watch all these trade problems go on and they’re going to see, okay, this is going to light the fire under inflation again, they’re not going to be in any hurry to lower rates, they’re not going to be forced to lower rates.”

The FOMC meeting begins next Tuesday, with a rate announcement happening on Wednesday. A summary of economic projects will also be released.

Related Stories
While the agriculture industry hoped details on proposed “bridge” payments for farmers would be released this week, Ag Secretary Brook Rollins said the USDA is still working with the White House on the finer points.
Federal lawyers submitted a brief this week backing Bayer’s argument that federal laws governing herbicides like Roundup should prevent lawsuits over the popular chemical.
China’s renewed purchases signal improving sorghum demand at a time when export markets are otherwise uneven. Meanwhile, agriculture groups across the U.S, Canada, and Mexico want to protect close trade relations.
Pressure on grain storage capacity and stronger export positioning are pushing more grain onto railroads, highways, and river systems as logistics become a key bottleneck this fall.
Late harvest and tight supplies shape crop progress and agribusiness this week. Here is a regional snapshot of harvest pace, crop conditions, logistics, and livestock economics across U.S. agriculture for the week of Dec. 1, 2025.
Cargill’s commitment to keep plants open helps preserve competition as Tyson removes capacity amid historically tight cattle supplies.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Farmers for Free Trade Executive Director Brian Kuehl shares more about the tour to gather farmers’ insights on the economic challenges they face in the ag economy.
Recent U.S.–China trade developments provided a small lift for soy markets, though most traders are waiting for concrete purchase data before making major moves.
Wheat futures briefly hit a three-month high before retreating as the markets wait for word on whether the deal will actually happen.
According to the new report, seven out of ten rural bankers support President Trump’s recent trade steps with China, expressing cautious optimism about future export potential.
Dr. Jeffrey Gold discusses ways families can approach changes in aging loved ones over the holiday season and manage care with compassion and empathy.
Laramie Sandquist discusses Nationwide Agribusiness’s commitment to grain bin safety initiatives, including providing life-saving equipment and training to fire departments across the country.