Rising interest rates have a hold on most areas of the ag economy, but the least profitable producers have taken the biggest hit.
The Minneapolis Fed says producers in the ninth district have faced more expenses as a result of the current economy. That includes operations in Minnesota, Montana, and the Dakotas.
Right now, the district’s least profitable producers have higher debt per crop, and as rates go up, their cash flows are more sensitive. Those increased expenses could require them to get more funding because of less working capital.
The Fed estimates the least profitable farmers spend three times more on interest.
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Trump’s upcoming talks raise hopes for U.S. soybeans, but China’s record purchases from Brazil and Argentina show America’s market share remains under heavy pressure.
USDA’s report shows wheat strength overall, with winter wheat yields setting records, while spring wheat and rye saw declines. Oats and barley remain constrained by record-low acreage despite stable or rising yields.
Together, these markets highlight the diverse forces shaping industrial inputs and safe-haven assets.
Farmers face tighter barge capacity and higher freight costs during peak harvest.
Bigger-than-expected corn and wheat stocks are bearish for prices, while soybean figures were neutral. Farmers may face additional price pressure as harvest accelerates.
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