The Administration recently made changes that biofuel groups say will help keep fuel prices down. Blending requirements came in well-above industry expectations, and it is a move analysts say will lift up soybean growers, but they warn it will not happen overnight.
“I think this really is a long well, at least it’s a multi-year, you know, step in a domestic demand increase picture to help support soybean prices,” said Ben Brown, Extension Agricultural Economist - University of Missouri.
The EPA is accepting public comments before any action can be taken on those blending proposals. The cutoff date to voice your concerns is August 8th.
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China is not one of our top suppliers of cooking oil, according to USDA ERS data, but does export a lot of used cooking oil to the U.S. for biofuel production.
Expect choppier basis and wider bids — hedge earlier, keep logistics flexible, and watch Argentina and India headlines for near-term opportunities.
President Trump is expected to press Argentina to take a tougher stance on China in exchange for political and economic support.
Treat storage as risk management and logistics, and budget to break even since export growth is unlikely to absorb bigger U.S. corn and soybean crops.
Escalating U.S.–China tensions threaten soybean demand as farm finances are stretched further.
Expect a steady corn grind and selective basis strength where exports and local blending stay active.
