Since 1938 the U.S. cattle industry has faced at least eight cycles, rotating from low points in supplies to peaks, and starting all over again.
Historically, cattle cycles typically last ten to eleven years.
With the current cycle about to hit year eleven, many are asking if we’re now due for the cattle herd to rebuild. One expert says that we are not quite there yet.
According to Dr. Josh Maples, “We’re going to have declining supplies in 2024 too, so we are about to hit year eleven of this current cycle. Now, the amazing thing or the interesting thing, whatever you want to say, is all these cycles are about ten years long. You know, we’ve only had two of them that have gone longer than eleven years, and we’re about to hit year eleven. The end of these cycles are characterized by stronger prices, typically. It’s those stronger prices that incentivize producers to hold back efforts to not cull their cows as deep as they have been, which will ultimately lead to more cash being produced the following year and we’re just not there yet. We’re not there yet. I can’t see the end of this cycle yet.”
Today’s U.S. beef herd has reached lows not seen in more than 70 years, totaling just over 87 million head.
Midland County Junior Livestock Show in West Texas features swine competition with top exhibitors, including Grand Champion Brinley Wilson, ahead of Saturday’s premium sale.
January 15, 2026 04:07 PM
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Tight beef cow supplies and steady demand point to continued record-level cull cow prices in 2026.
January 15, 2026 11:23 AM
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Roger McEowen with the Washburn University School of Law joined us to provide legal analysis on key cases shaping the agricultural landscape heading into the year ahead.
January 14, 2026 01:49 PM
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Secretary Rollins also met with specialty crop producers at a local strawberry farm to discuss workforce needs and the Trump Administration’s recent wins related to significantly cutting the cost of H-2A labor for California farmers.
January 13, 2026 03:25 PM
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Brent Graves, auctioneer and mentor, shares his journey supporting youth in agriculture, livestock competitions, and how he is turning junior livestock auctions into a classroom for youth in agriculture.
January 13, 2026 02:43 PM
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China’s beef policy risk stems from domestic volatility, making export demand inherently unstable. Jake Charleston with Specialty Risk Insurance offers his perspective on cattle markets, risk management, and producer sentiment.
January 13, 2026 02:13 PM
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