Tree Nut Outlook Mixed as Tightening Almond Supply Supports Prices, While Pistachios Hold Steady

California almond acreage tightens while pistachios shift into an off-year, shaping a mixed outlook for prices and supply in the tree nut market.

SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY, CALIFORNIA (RFD News) — Two different trends are shaping California’s tree nut industry. Almond acreage is tightening after several years of pressure, while pistachios are moving from a strong production year into a lighter crop cycle.

Producer William Bourdeau says those shifts could begin to show up in the marketplace, explaining that tightening supply could help bring almond prices closer to balance as demand strengthens.

“You know, I’m optimistic that almond prices will improve, and there’s a lot of acres that came out of production. There are a lot of acres that were deficit-irrigated. They’re a sensitive crop, and so I do think supply and demand equilibrium will start sorting itself out. And as demand increases and supply goes down, the price should improve. And so I’m optimistic.”

On the other hand, pistachio prices are holding steady, despite a shifting outlook for the upcoming harvest.

“Pistachios, we still have a decent price,” Bourdeau said. “I think this is an off year. So we had a really big crop last year. It’s going to be a more modest crop this year. So I think prices will remain close to the same as last year. And so I’m very optimistic that pistachios, if we don’t have some strange weather events or something that adversely impacts the yield, I feel really good about pistachios in the near term.”

He adds that, barring weather disruptions, pistachios are expected to remain steady in the months ahead.

Related Stories
Strong yields and higher cattle prices helped stabilize conditions, but weak crop prices and rising carryover debt remain major challenges for Eleventh District farmers.
Corn exports remain strong, while soybeans and wheat shift week to week on river conditions and global demand.
Tyson’s Nebraska plant closure and falling Cattle on Feed numbers send cattle markets tumbling. Analysts warn of tighter supplies, weak margins, and rising global competition.
A regional snapshot of harvest pace, crop conditions, logistics, and livestock economics across U.S. agriculture, prepared by RFD-TV Markets Specialist Tony St. James, for the week of Monday, November 24, 2025.
Farmers with unpaid Hansen-Mueller grain should verify delivery records immediately and file indemnity claims quickly, as coverage rules differ sharply by state.
The U.S. Department of Labor (DOL) estimates that the move will save farmers and ranchers $2.5 billion each year. The group warns that new methods for calculating the adverse-effect wage rate would result in lower pay for foreign workers.

Knoxville native Neal Burnette-Irwin is a graduate from MTSU where he majored in Journalism and Entertainment Studies. He works as a digital content producer with RFD News and is represented by multiple talent agencies in Nashville and Chicago.


LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

UT Extension also offers tips to help consumers stretch their grocery budgets, including meal planning, sticking to a shopping list, and choosing store or generic brands.
Sen. Amy Klobuchar has four years remaining in her Senate term and could decide to continue serving in that role while campaigning for Governor of Minnesota.
STRAUSS CEO Henning Strauss joined us with a preview of “Meet Strauss: The Tool You Wear,” premiering live tonight at 7:30 ET — only on RFD Network and RFD+
FarmHER Chris Nellis and her daughters navigate loss while carrying on a 300-year farm legacy, milking cows in upstate New York.
USDA Undersecretary for Trade and Foreign Agricultural Affairs Luke Lindberg joined us with a recap of the Malaysia trade mission and a look at USDA’s broader trade strategy moving forward.
Mike Steenhoek of the Soy Transportation Coalition shares how extreme winter weather is affecting the ag transportation network and what producers should keep in mind as conditions slowly improve.
Agriculture Shows
Hosted by Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady and RFD News Markets Specialist Tony St. James, Commodity Talk delivers expert insight into the day’s ag commodity markets just before the CME opens. Only on RFD-TV and Rural Radio SiriusXM Channel 147.
A look at the news, weather and commodities headlines that drove agriculture markets in the past week.
Everything profits from prairie. Soil, air, water — and all kinds of life! Learn how you can improve your land with prairie restoration, cover crops and prairie strips, while growing your bottom line.
Special 3-part series tells the story of the Claas family’s legacy, which changed agriculture forever.