WASHINGTON, D.C. (RFD-TV) — In a high-profile summit this week, Presidents Trump and Xi Jinping agreed on a broader framework for U.S.–China trade cooperation, moving beyond tensions toward incremental renewal of access and purchases in key sectors, including agriculture and technology.
Among the early outcomes: China’s state-owned trader COFCO reportedly booked about 6.6 million bushels of U.S. soybeans for December-January shipment — its first confirmed buy from the 2025 harvest — providing a symbolic boost even as larger structural terms remain unresolved.
Analysts say the soy booking, while modest, reflects thawing relations and price parity with Brazil, which gives U.S. exporters a window of opportunity at Gulf and PNW ports. The meeting also yielded a one-year delay on China’s planned rare-earth export licensing regime, and discussions resurfaced around corn, sorghum, beef, and dairy market openings. Whether volumes follow and trade patterns truly shift depends on implementation details.
Farm-Level Takeaway: The summit raises hopes for stronger exports and reduced barriers, but U.S. ag players should remain strategically cautious until concrete volumes and certifications materialize.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Expert
September 16, 2025 02:25 PM
Producers may need to prepare for margin pressure in livestock feeding, while dairy farmers could benefit from stronger product demand.
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Farmers await concrete trade commitments from China. Until then, export prospects for soybeans, corn, and sorghum remain uncertain against strong South American competition.
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National Sorghum Producers CEO Tim Lust said farmers face a challenging year with strong supply, murky trade conditions, and uncertain access to their largest market: China.
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U.S. trade talks with China resume, but meat industry leaders say dealing with shifting demand and market uncertainty is nothing new in this side of the ag sector.
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Tariffs are pushing up input costs, with fertilizer prices rising $100 per ton and machinery costs climbing due to steel and parts duties.
September 15, 2025 12:21 PM
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Year-round sales of E-15 are another major topic on Capitol Hill, which, according to Rep. Adrian Smith (R-NE), is one issue up for debate this session with significant bipartisan support.
September 15, 2025 12:09 PM
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September 15, 2025 12:09 PM
American Soybean Association President Caleb Ragland joins us to share his reaction to September’s WASDE and discuss the trade uncertainty between China and his industry.
September 12, 2025 02:13 PM
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