U.S. Crude Exports Decline As Markets Shift

Energy shifts influence diesel and fertilizer costs.

Aerial view of the front of a large crude oil tanker ship at sea_Photo by teamjackson via Adobe Stock_1536993330.jpg

Photo by teamjackson via Adobe Stock

WASHINGTON, D.C. (RFD NEWS) — Annual U.S. crude oil exports fell in 2025 for the first time since 2021, reflecting shifting global demand patterns and changes in domestic utilization, according to the Energy Information Administration.

U.S. crude exports averaged about 4.0 million barrels per day in 2025, down 3 percent from 2024, with declines concentrated in Europe and the Asia-Oceania region. Exports to Europe dropped about 7 percent as increased OPEC output displaced U.S. barrels, while shipments to Singapore and China fell sharply, continuing a two-year slide in Chinese purchases.

Despite lower exports, overall U.S. net crude imports declined to roughly 2.2 million barrels per day, with imports falling even more. EIA notes domestic production rose 3 percent to a record 13.6 million barrels per day, with more supply flowing into stock builds, including the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, and U.S. refineries.

Regionally, some destinations increased purchases, with the Netherlands, India, and Japan importing more U.S. crude and Nigeria boosting imports as its Dangote refinery ramped toward full capacity.

Looking ahead, export trends will depend on shifts in global supply, refinery demand, and evolving trade flows.

Related Stories
Bangladesh recently pledged to purchase 700,000 tons of U.S. wheat and has also become a new buyer of American soybeans.
Ethanol exports are expanding on strong demand from Canada and Europe, while DDGS shipments remain broad-based and supportive for feed markets.
Dalton Henry, with U.S. Wheat Associates, joined RFD-TV to provide insight on what the pending trade frameworks may mean for American wheat growers.
A massive rail merger could significantly impact North American agriculture and trade flows.
Urea and phosphate see the biggest price relief from tariff exemptions, but nitrogen markets remain tight, and spring demand will still dictate pricing momentum.
Cattle and hog supplies continue to tighten while dairy output expands, creating a split outlook in which red-meat prices soften and milk values come under pressure from larger supplies.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Herd rebuilding looks slow, keeping cattle prices supported; beef-on-dairy crosses help fill feedlots, while imports temper—but don’t erase—tightness.
Farmers should watch for soybean export rebounds with harvest, while corn and wheat shipments remain strong and sorghum demand struggles.
Farmers may benefit from higher turkey prices this holiday season, but risks from HPAI and limited poult placements could further strain the supply.
Higher tariffs may shield some U.S. crops but risk retaliation, lost markets, and higher costs for growers. The WTO disputes highlight the fragile balance between trade policy, farm exports, and input supply chains.
Fewer cattle on feed suggest smaller slaughter numbers this winter, which could support strong prices if beef demand holds firm.
Dairy farmers are expected to face strong output and export gains, but lower prices and tighter margins will persist into next year.