Uncertain Spring weather patterns may lead to tight planting windows this year

As planting season approaches, meteorologists are keeping a close eye on weather patterns influenced by the transition from La Niña to ENSO-neutral conditions.

While this generally signals more typical weather, it does not guarantee “normal” conditions.

There are concerns about lingering dry conditions in the southwest and Plains, which could lead to drought. Other regions are experiencing heavy rainfall that may cause planting delays. With these mixed weather patterns, experts predict tight planting windows, which could impact the timing and success of crop planting this Spring.

Farmers are looking to kick off their spring planting with cool-season crops.

When soil temperatures look to finally reach the ideal range, K-State Research and Extension shares advice on what crops to focus on in the early Spring and how to navigate the start to the season.

According to Gregg Eyestone, “It’s all based on soil temperatures. And once they get about 40º, that opens up a window for planting. So, what we want to achieve is a continuous warming trend in our soils. You can check that out. Get a cheap thermometer and put it in the ground. Test the temperature around 10:30/11 AM. That’s kind of the average for the day, and once we have several days of 40º, several meaning five, six, maybe a whole week, we can probably plant.”

He recommends you map out what crops you are planting where; it can help with overall nutrients and maybe even some pest issues.

Related Stories
Purdue University Professor of Agricultural Economics Dr. Jim Mintert shares a closer look at farmer sentiment and the key issues shaping the agricultural economy in January.
China-led demand continues to anchor soybean and sorghum exports despite weekly swings.
Economists are also closely watching how policy decisions in Washington could influence markets moving forward. Analysts say deferred futures for corn, soybeans, and wheat suggest markets are operating near break-even levels, not at prices that would encourage expanded production.
Winter Weather And Markets Reshape Agriculture Nationwide This Week
Falling livestock prices, combined with higher input costs, continue to squeeze farm profitability heading into 2026.
Strong rail demand and higher fuel costs raise transportation risk even as barge and export flows stabilize.

Agriculture Shows
Hosted by Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady and RFD News Markets Specialist Tony St. James, Commodity Talk delivers expert insight into the day’s ag commodity markets just before the CME opens. Only on RFD-TV and Rural Radio SiriusXM Channel 147.
A look at the news, weather and commodities headlines that drove agriculture markets in the past week.
Everything profits from prairie. Soil, air, water — and all kinds of life! Learn how you can improve your land with prairie restoration, cover crops and prairie strips, while growing your bottom line.
Special 3-part series tells the story of the Claas family’s legacy, which changed agriculture forever.