NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD NEWS) — Grain transportation activity delivered mixed signals late in January, with rail demand remaining historically strong, barge movements rebounding week to week, and ocean freight rates continuing to firm. The combination points to steady export demand but rising logistical and cost pressures for shippers.
U.S. Class I railroads originated 31,877 grain carloads during the week ending January 17, down 1 percent from the prior week but still 31 percent higher than a year ago and 26 percent above the three-year average. Railcar availability tightened sharply, with February shuttle secondary bids averaging $750 per car above tariff — $200 higher than the previous week and nearly $600 above last year. Non-shuttle bids remained near tariff, underscoring stronger demand for guaranteed shuttle service.
Barge traffic improved as weather disruptions eased. Grain movements totaled 567,800 tons for the week ending January 24, up 27 percent from the previous week, though still 13 percent below last year. Downbound traffic increased, but unloads at the Gulf declined.
Ocean activity stayed firm, while diesel prices climbed to $3.624 per gallon, adding cost pressure.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Strong rail demand and higher fuel costs raise transportation risk even as barge and export flows stabilize.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Shrinking slaughter capacity may delay heifer retention, complicating herd rebuilding plans.
February 03, 2026 02:26 PM
·
Securing Critical Water Resources for South Texas Agriculture
February 03, 2026 01:10 PM
·
RealAg Radio host Shaun Haney says farmers there are already sounding the alarm about what this could mean for the future of ag research.
February 03, 2026 01:03 PM
·
Clearer 45Z rules favor U.S. oilseeds, but final RFS volumes remain critical to locking in demand.
February 03, 2026 12:39 PM
·
Even small declines in the calf crop translate into sustained supply pressure, supporting cattle prices over multiple years.
February 03, 2026 12:22 PM
·
Economists are also closely watching how policy decisions in Washington could influence markets moving forward. Analysts say deferred futures for corn, soybeans, and wheat suggest markets are operating near break-even levels, not at prices that would encourage expanded production.
February 02, 2026 12:13 PM
·
Winter Weather And Markets Reshape Agriculture Nationwide This Week
February 02, 2026 12:04 PM
·
Falling livestock prices, combined with higher input costs, continue to squeeze farm profitability heading into 2026.
February 02, 2026 10:22 AM
·
Smaller cow numbers and a declining calf crop point to prolonged tight cattle supplies, limiting near-term herd rebuilding potential.
January 30, 2026 03:42 PM
·