Uncertain Spring weather patterns may lead to tight planting windows this year

As planting season approaches, meteorologists are keeping a close eye on weather patterns influenced by the transition from La Niña to ENSO-neutral conditions.

While this generally signals more typical weather, it does not guarantee “normal” conditions.

There are concerns about lingering dry conditions in the southwest and Plains, which could lead to drought. Other regions are experiencing heavy rainfall that may cause planting delays. With these mixed weather patterns, experts predict tight planting windows, which could impact the timing and success of crop planting this Spring.

Farmers are looking to kick off their spring planting with cool-season crops.

When soil temperatures look to finally reach the ideal range, K-State Research and Extension shares advice on what crops to focus on in the early Spring and how to navigate the start to the season.

According to Gregg Eyestone, “It’s all based on soil temperatures. And once they get about 40º, that opens up a window for planting. So, what we want to achieve is a continuous warming trend in our soils. You can check that out. Get a cheap thermometer and put it in the ground. Test the temperature around 10:30/11 AM. That’s kind of the average for the day, and once we have several days of 40º, several meaning five, six, maybe a whole week, we can probably plant.”

He recommends you map out what crops you are planting where; it can help with overall nutrients and maybe even some pest issues.

Related Stories
Congressional leaders signal momentum toward expanded, targeted farm aid to help producers manage losses and cash-flow stress in 2026.
Livestock strength is carrying the farm economy, while crop margins remain tight and increasingly dependent on risk management and financial discipline.
Freight volatility and route selection remain critical to soybean export margins and competitiveness.
Strong balance sheets still matter, but liquidity, planning, and lender relationships are critical as ag credit tightens, according to analysis from AgAmerica Lending.
U.S. agriculture entered the week with mixed signals as weather, logistics, and markets shaped early-year decisions. Here is a regional breakdown of domestic crop and livestock production for the week of Monday, Jan. 19, 2026.
While short-term volatility remains a risk, softer ocean freight rates in 2026 could improve export margins.

Agriculture Shows
Hosted by Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady and RFD News Markets Specialist Tony St. James, Commodity Talk delivers expert insight into the day’s ag commodity markets just before the CME opens. Only on RFD-TV and Rural Radio SiriusXM Channel 147.
A look at the news, weather and commodities headlines that drove agriculture markets in the past week.
Everything profits from prairie. Soil, air, water — and all kinds of life! Learn how you can improve your land with prairie restoration, cover crops and prairie strips, while growing your bottom line.
Special 3-part series tells the story of the Claas family’s legacy, which changed agriculture forever.