USDA’s First Crop Progress Report Shows Early Planting Pace Across Key States

Rich Nelson with Allendale joined us to break down early planting progress, market expectations, and what producers should keep an eye on as the season moves forward.

Top view of tractor planting corn seed in field_Photo by Bits and Spits via AdobeStock_265317743.jpg

Top view of tractor planting corn seed in field.

Photo by Bits and Splits via Adobe Stock

CHICAGO (RFD NEWS) — Spring planting is gaining momentum across the country, with early progress aligning closely with historical norms. The first U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) Crop Progress report of the season is offering an early look at how planting is shaping up across the country. The latest report, released on April 6, shows 3 percent of the nation’s corn crop is planted—right in line with the five-year average.

Key Highlights:

  • Corn planting is just getting underway, with 3 percent of the crop in the ground nationwide. Texas is leading the way, with nearly 60 percent planted, followed by Tennessee at 18 percent.
  • Spring wheat planting is slightly behind average, with 2 percent planted compared to the five-year average of 3 percent.
  • Meanwhile, winter wheat development is progressing, with 7 percent of the crop headed and 35 percent rated good-to-excellent.

In addition to Crop Progress, markets are also watching for the upcoming World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report. However, traders say expectations for major changes remain low at this stage.

“The newswire is just gathering some of their estimates,” explains Brian Hoops. “We don’t have material changes in this report. A little bit of change in overall production yield expectations will be minimized here until we get into the May report, with maybe some adjustments to planted acres in this report and, of course, to demand trends. So we don’t really expect to see a lot of major influence coming out of that report.”

Analysts say attention will likely shift to future reports as the growing season progresses and more data becomes available.

Rich Nelson, Chief Strategist with Allendale, Inc., joined us on Tuesday’s Market Day Report to share insight into what this early-season data could signal for the markets.

In his interview with RFD NEWS, Nelson explains that the Crop Progress report reflects a steady, typical start to planting, but notes that conditions can shift quickly depending on weather patterns in the weeks ahead. He also shares what he’s hearing directly from farmers as they begin to ramp up fieldwork.

Looking ahead, Nelson outlines his outlook for the growing season, pointing to ongoing geopolitical developments and their ripple effects on input costs, trade flows, and overall market sentiment. He also previewed expectations for this week’s upcoming WASDE report, explaining how updated supply and demand estimates could influence near-term commodity prices.

With multiple variables at play, Nelson highlights key factors he is watching closely, including weather trends, global demand signals, and continued volatility in input markets.

Related Stories
Tyson’s capacity cuts weaken local basis, tighten kill space, and heighten dependence on imports, signaling more volatility for producers.
Low farmer shares reflect deep consolidation across the food chain, keeping producer returns thin even as retail food prices remain high.
Corn exports remain strong, while soybeans and wheat shift week to week on river conditions and global demand.
Former Market Day Report anchor Janet Adkison was inducted into the National Association of Farm Broadcasting Hall of Fame, recognizing over 20 years of service sharing stories that impact Rural America.
Jake Charleston, with Specialty Risk Insurance, joins us now for an industry update and advice for cattle producers as they consider options for managing the risks of a murky market.

Marion is a digital content manager for RFD News and FarmHER + RanchHER. She started working for Rural Media Group in May 2022, bringing a decade of digital experience in broadcast media and some cooking experience to the team.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Hunter Biram, an extension economist with the University of Arkansas, is tracking Mississippi River water levels as grain shippers shift their focus to transportation following the wrap-up of fall harvest.
With feed supplies running tight, producers can tap into some creative options, according to University of Pennsylvania Veterinarian and Professor Dr. Joe Bender.
Shawn Haney, Host of RealAg Radio on Rural Radio SiriusXM Channel 147, joined us on Tuesday’s Market Day Report with the latest news from Canada impacting the ag sector.
Dr. Deb Vnoverbeke, UNL’s Head of Animal Science, joins us with more about the university’s experiential learning programs designed to prepare veterinary students for the future of agriculture.
Lewis Williamson with HTS Commodities shares an update on post-WASDE grain movement, with corn leading export momentum, soybeans steady, and wheat and sorghum continuing to move selectively.
China still has a long way to go before it meets its commitment to buy 12 million metric tons of U.S. soybeans this year.
Agriculture Shows
Hosted by Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady and RFD News Markets Specialist Tony St. James, Commodity Talk delivers expert insight into the day’s ag commodity markets just before the CME opens. Only on RFD-TV and Rural Radio SiriusXM Channel 147.
A look at the news, weather and commodities headlines that drove agriculture markets in the past week.
Everything profits from prairie. Soil, air, water — and all kinds of life! Learn how you can improve your land with prairie restoration, cover crops and prairie strips, while growing your bottom line.
Special 3-part series tells the story of the Claas family’s legacy, which changed agriculture forever.