WASDE Preview: December Report to Analyze Southern Hemisphere’s Grain Harvest

While this month’s WASDE report will not include updated figures on U.S. crop size, officials say it will offer a clearer picture of crop conditions in the Southern Hemisphere.

NASHVILLE, TENN. (RFD-TV) — In a little more than 24 hours, we will get our first look at the latest World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimate (WASDE) Report from the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) for December. This month’s WASDE report is expected to give markets a clear picture of where things stand after a busy harvest season.

Early trade estimates are already out with a big focus on the U.S. corn crop. Last year at this time, ending stocks were around 1.5 billion bushels. This year, traders estimate ending stocks will come in around 2.13 billion bushels. On the soybean side, the expectation is 308 million bushels. That is slightly below last year. And for wheat, estimates show that the crop’s ending stocks are around 40 million bushels over last year.

While this month’s WASDE report will not include updated figures on U.S. crop size, officials say it will offer a clearer picture of crop conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, with a heavy focus on the wheat harvest in Australia and the first corn and soybean crops from Brazil.

With the government shutdown, the USDA said export sales data that would have been released in October will now be released this week, too.

We will bring you those numbers from the delayed December WASDE Report and U.S. Crop Production reports right here on Market Day Report after they are released on Tuesday at 12 PM ET.

Related Stories
From tariff talks in Europe to SCOTUS uncertainty and rising farm losses, analysts say policy and global supply will shape grain markets in the year ahead.
Large Brazilian crops heighten downside price risk if the weather allows production to reach projected levels.
Ethanol and corn groups are not hiding their disappointment over new reports that the bill to allow year-round E15 sales failed as Congress forges ahead on government funding, with another shutdown looming.
While row crops are expected to see softer impacts, analysts say severe weather of this magnitude will not be as kind to cattle producers.
Oil-led rallies can move soybean prices quickly, but sustained gains will require continued strength in soybean oil and broader biofuel demand signals.
Analysts say a Supreme Court decision on tariffs could reshape protein markets, strain U.S.-China trade, and force farmers to rethink global demand strategies.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Tony Adkins with Specialty Risk Insurance addresses current market challenges for farmers and ranchers and offers strategies to help producers navigate risk.
AFBF Women’s Leadership Committee Chair Isabella Chism joined us to discuss Ag Day planning, community involvement, and supporting the future of agriculture.
EPA Administrator Scott Mason shares updates on farm equipment regulations, regional accomplishments, and federal efforts supporting agriculture in honor of National Ag Day.
Sen. Roger Marshall joins us in honor of National Ag Day to share legislative updates, highlight key policy victories, and initiatives supporting farmers and rural communities he is championing in Washington.
Acreage shifts could impact pricing and marketing plans.
Carol Anderson joined us to highlight the importance of rural mental health, introduce a new resilience program, and share resources available to the ag community.
Agriculture Shows
Hosted by Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady and RFD News Markets Specialist Tony St. James, Commodity Talk delivers expert insight into the day’s ag commodity markets just before the CME opens. Only on RFD-TV and Rural Radio SiriusXM Channel 147.
A look at the news, weather and commodities headlines that drove agriculture markets in the past week.
Everything profits from prairie. Soil, air, water — and all kinds of life! Learn how you can improve your land with prairie restoration, cover crops and prairie strips, while growing your bottom line.
Special 3-part series tells the story of the Claas family’s legacy, which changed agriculture forever.