WASDE Recap: USDA Raises Grain Supplies As Futures Fall Sharply

WASHINGTON, D.C. (RFD-TV) — The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA ) raised corn and soybean production and increased projected ending stocks for corn, soybeans and wheat, sending grain futures sharply lower and adding pressure to producer marketing decisions during harvest.

Corn took the hardest hit. USDA raised the 2026 yield to 181.2 bushels per acre and production to 16.034 billion bushels. Ending stocks climbed 282 million bushels from September to 1.849 billion, well above average trade expectations. If realized, this will be the second largest corn crop in U.S. history.

Soybean yield increased to 53.1 bushels per acre, with production at 4.56 billion bushels. Ending stocks rose to 315 million bushels. Wheat ending stocks increased 23 million bushels to 740 million as production and imports rose and exports declined.

Markets reacted quickly. Corn futures fell about 5%, soybeans dropped roughly 2 percent, and wheat declined about 3% as traders adjusted to larger-than-expected supplies across all three crops.

The larger carryout estimates increase pressure on post-harvest pricing and storage decisions. USDA’s next supply and demand update is scheduled for November 10.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Larger grain supplies and higher ending stocks increase pressure on prices as producers weigh harvest sales, storage and post-harvest marketing decisions.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV News Markets Specialisst

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

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