China has been a big part of the market turmoil over the last several weeks.
Analyst Mike Zuzolo says many traders are operating under the belief that a deal will soon be reached. However, he is not so sure, saying that the people President Trump has chosen to negotiate trade with have their hearts in rural America.
“Almost all of them come from the same background of the middle part of the country and have seen their towns or cities hollowed out, manufacturing hollowed out, and I think the proof is in the pudding at this point of what he’s willing to do, even if it means, as he would say, short-term pain for long-term gain.”
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Traders are keeping a close eye on China’s soybean purchases as markets track export sales, shipments, and progress toward the ‘magical’ 12 million ton target promised last year.
As domestic production and blending slowed, export demand remained a clear bright spot.
In a post to social media, Trump said Venezuela will buy American agriculture products and will use the money from oil sales to make it happen.
Rail strength is helping stabilize grain movement, but river and export slowdowns continue to limit overall logistics momentum.
China continues to buy U.S. soybeans toward its 12 MMT commitment, as analysts cite data gaps, delivery timing questions, and muted market reaction.
