A tightening cheese supply is sending prices higher globally.
This month cheddar block prices reached $2.27 per pound. Cobank says that is the highest price in 27 months.
Class III Milk futures are also on the rise, with the bundle average reaching $22.90 in the week following Labor Day. While higher prices moving into the fall is great, traders do not believe they will hang around for long.
CME has the four-month average for January to April 2025 Class III features at just $19.80.
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Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated this week that the government will intervene to help, following China’s withdrawal from the U.S. soybean market. One trader says the industry will remain in a holding pattern until Tuesday.
Beef demand could be influencing other economic sectors, as consumers adjust spending habits to prioritize higher-priced beef products.
Trump’s upcoming talks raise hopes for U.S. soybeans, but China’s record purchases from Brazil and Argentina show America’s market share remains under heavy pressure.
USDA’s report shows wheat strength overall, with winter wheat yields setting records, while spring wheat and rye saw declines. Oats and barley remain constrained by record-low acreage despite stable or rising yields.
Together, these markets highlight the diverse forces shaping industrial inputs and safe-haven assets.
Bigger-than-expected corn and wheat stocks are bearish for prices, while soybean figures were neutral. Farmers may face additional price pressure as harvest accelerates.