Ag Economy Barometer: Farmer Sentiment Ticks Up in February, But Long-Term Confidence Remains Uncertain

Purdue University’s Dr. Michael Langemeier discusses the survey’s findings in February and broader signals in the months ahead.

2026BrandGuidep44-TractorAndHayRakeInField_emiel-molenaar-j8DsBudk96c-unsplash_1920x1080.jpg

WEST LAFAYETTE, IND. (RFD NEWS) — Farmer sentiment is showing a modest rebound, according to the latest Ag Economy Barometer, though concerns about the long-term outlook remain. Dr. Michael Langemeier, senior author of the report and professor at Purdue University, joined us on Tuesday’s Market Day Report to break down the latest findings.

In his interview with RFD NEWS, Langemeier said the slight improvement in the barometer was driven by short-term factors, including market stabilization and policy-related developments. While the rebound was welcome, he noted that confidence in the longer-term agricultural outlook continues to soften as producers face margin pressure and ongoing uncertainty.

The February survey also revisited questions about farm growth plans, a component included annually since 2016. Langemeier said responses suggest many farmers remain cautious about expansion, reflecting tighter profitability expectations and elevated input costs.

This month’s survey included a question about the Farmer Bridge Assistance Program, with respondents indicating they plan to use payments primarily to strengthen working capital, manage debt, or stabilize cash flow amid continued financial pressure.

Producers were again asked whether they believe the U.S. is headed in the “right direction” or on the “wrong track.” Langemeier said opinions remain mixed, with little change from previous readings, underscoring ongoing uncertainty in the broader economic environment.

Overall, Langemeier characterized the latest results as cautiously optimistic in the short term, but he emphasized that long-term confidence will likely depend on improvements in profitability, policy clarity, and global market stability.

Fred Seamon, executive director of agricultural research at CME, also joined us on Wednesday’s Market Day Report to further break down the report.

In his conversation, Seamon discussed the factors behind the slight increase in sentiment and highlighted what farmers are saying about their growth plans for 2026.

He also addressed responses related to the Farmer Bridge Assistance Program and how producers plan to use those payments. He reviewed expectations for agricultural exports and shared insights on how farmers perceive the direction of the U.S. economy, noting a decline in optimism compared with previous surveys.

Related Stories
Mobile unit supports first responders with equipment and hands-on training
Event focuses on helping communities grow through local business
Strong demand for U.S. beef in Mexico is boosting exports, with buyers seeking both variety meats and high-quality cuts like Prime and Choice ribeye.
Rep. Dusty Johnson of South Dakota joined us to discuss rising input costs, proposed fertilizer legislation, and potential support for farmers navigating tight margins.
As AI-driven data centers expand in rural South Texas, local officials and economists debate water use, farmland impacts, and the balance between technology growth and agriculture preservation.
As federal policy shifts toward greater tribal sovereignty, farmers and ranchers (and their legal counsel) must prioritize clear, written contracts and stay engaged with state legislative developments and tribal council updates.

Marion is a digital content manager for RFD News and FarmHER + RanchHER. She started working for Rural Media Group in May 2022, bringing a decade of digital experience in broadcast media and some cooking experience to the team.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Georgia Ag Commissioner Tyler Harper explains the growing threat of invasive hornets in his state and what Southeastern growers should watch for this spring.
Shaun Haney with Real Ag Radio joined us to break down the USMCA review and what Canadian producers and exporters should be watching in the months ahead.
USDA Undersecretary Dr. Mindy Brashears provides more insight on the updated “Product of USA” label campaign and the USDA’s goals for both consumers and producers.
Farm CPA Paul Neiffer joined us to break down the application process for Stages 1 and 2 of the USDA’s Supplemental Disaster Relief Program, and what farmers can expect as the deadline approaches.
Fertilizer relief may be limited despite the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz this week. AgriSompo’s Brooks York discusses marketing strategies, crop insurance considerations, and other tips for producers navigating volatility this planting season.
Overall, the report suggests a shift toward more comfortable supply levels, with demand emerging as a key factor to watch in the months ahead.