Ag Economy Barometer: Farmer Sentiment Ticks Up in February, But Long-Term Confidence Remains Uncertain

Purdue University’s Dr. Michael Langemeier discusses the survey’s findings in February and broader signals in the months ahead.

2026BrandGuidep44-TractorAndHayRakeInField_emiel-molenaar-j8DsBudk96c-unsplash_1920x1080.jpg

WEST LAFAYETTE, IND. (RFD NEWS) — Farmer sentiment is showing a modest rebound, according to the latest Ag Economy Barometer, though concerns about the long-term outlook remain. Dr. Michael Langemeier, senior author of the report and professor at Purdue University, joined us on Tuesday’s Market Day Report to break down the latest findings.

In his interview with RFD NEWS, Langemeier said the slight improvement in the barometer was driven by short-term factors, including market stabilization and policy-related developments. While the rebound was welcome, he noted that confidence in the longer-term agricultural outlook continues to soften as producers face margin pressure and ongoing uncertainty.

The February survey also revisited questions about farm growth plans, a component included annually since 2016. Langemeier said responses suggest many farmers remain cautious about expansion, reflecting tighter profitability expectations and elevated input costs.

This month’s survey included a question about the Farmer Bridge Assistance Program, with respondents indicating they plan to use payments primarily to strengthen working capital, manage debt, or stabilize cash flow amid continued financial pressure.

Producers were again asked whether they believe the U.S. is headed in the “right direction” or on the “wrong track.” Langemeier said opinions remain mixed, with little change from previous readings, underscoring ongoing uncertainty in the broader economic environment.

Overall, Langemeier characterized the latest results as cautiously optimistic in the short term, but he emphasized that long-term confidence will likely depend on improvements in profitability, policy clarity, and global market stability.

Fred Seamon, executive director of agricultural research at CME, also joined us on Wednesday’s Market Day Report to further break down the report.

In his conversation, Seamon discussed the factors behind the slight increase in sentiment and highlighted what farmers are saying about their growth plans for 2026.

He also addressed responses related to the Farmer Bridge Assistance Program and how producers plan to use those payments. He reviewed expectations for agricultural exports and shared insights on how farmers perceive the direction of the U.S. economy, noting a decline in optimism compared with previous surveys.

Related Stories
President Trump issues a 60-day Jones Act waiver to ease fuel shipments amid Middle East tensions disrupting energy markets, while biofuel policy gains focus.
Acreage shifts could influence spring marketing decisions.
Corn and sorghum exports continue outperforming soybeans.
Expanding supplies are weighing on global coffee and cocoa prices.
NMPF’s Alan Bjerga discusses pending trade agreements with Indonesia and Ecuador and how they will benefit U.S. dairy producers and improve overall global competitiveness of U.S. ag products.
Lewis Williamson with HTS Commodities discusses how tensions in the Middle East are impacting producer’s spring planting decisions.

Marion is a digital content manager for RFD News and FarmHER + RanchHER. She started working for Rural Media Group in May 2022, bringing a decade of digital experience in broadcast media and some cooking experience to the team.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

The USDA Agricultural Outlook Forum highlights modest price support from tighter supplies across cotton, grains, dairy, livestock, and sugar into 2026.
Farm Bureau Economist Faith Parum discusses the latest Farm Bill proposal and the path ahead for Congress and U.S. agriculture.
The Ranger Road Fire spreads from the Oklahoma Panhandle into Kansas as high winds and red flag conditions persist
Small Business Administration Deputy Administrator Bill Briggs joined us with an update on how the SBA is working to support rural communities and small businesses across the country.
President Donald Trump signed an executive order this week to accelerate domestic production of phosphorus and glyphosate, signaling that farm input availability is now treated as a national security risk.
Fred Nichols, Chief Sales and Marketing Officer for Huma, joined us with a sneak peek at Commodity Classic next week in San Antonio, Texas.