Alcohol Trade Dispute Hits U.S. Farmers Through Exports

Trade disputes can quickly reduce demand for key crops.

stock image_california grapes vineyard vines grape wine AdobeStock_299814078.jpeg

NASHVILLE, TENN. (RFD NEWS) — A sharp drop in U.S. alcohol exports to Canada is creating ripple effects across American agriculture, cutting demand for key crops like corn, barley, wheat, and grapes. Economists say the dispute is hitting farmers as much as beverage companies.

Canada has long been a top market for U.S. beer, wine, and spirits. But trade tensions escalated in 2025, leading Canadian provinces to remove American alcohol from store shelves and halt new purchases. That shift effectively shut off a major export channel.

According to Dr. Andrew Muhammad with the University of Tennessee’s Institute of Agriculture, the impact was significant. U.S. alcohol exports to Canada fell 72 percent, dropping from $744 million in 2024 to just $208 million in 2025. Wine exports saw the steepest decline, followed by distilled spirits and beer.

For agriculture, the loss goes beyond finished products. Corn used for ethanol, barley for brewing, and grapes for wine all depend on export demand. Reduced sales mean weaker downstream demand for those commodities.

The situation also highlights a broader risk. Government-controlled retail systems can quickly block market access, making export demand more vulnerable to political decisions.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Trade disputes can quickly reduce demand for key crops.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Related Stories
“A government shutdown impacts all Americans and has serious consequences, including for farmers. It just adds additional uncertainty, disrupts critical services.”
Agricultural exports continue to be a key contributor to rural employment. However, rural businesses still struggle to fill numerous job openings.
Dave Kestel, a farmer from Will County and member of the Illinois Farm Bureau, joins us to share a boots-on-the-ground update on the 2025 corn harvest.
American Coalition for Ethanol’s Ron Lamberty shares the significance of California’s approval, opening up the country’s largest gasoline market to a cleaner-burning, often lower-cost fuel option.
University of Illinois Ag Economist Gary Schnitker says early projections indicate soybeans will be more profitable than corn in 2026.
USDA’s report shows wheat strength overall, with winter wheat yields setting records, while spring wheat and rye saw declines. Oats and barley remain constrained by record-low acreage despite stable or rising yields.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Here is a regional snapshot of harvest pace, crop conditions, logistics, and livestock economics across U.S. agriculture for the week of Monday, November 17, 2025.
Ethanol markets remain mixed — weaker production and blend rates are being partially balanced by stronger exports as winter demand patterns take shape.
Tariff relief may soften grocery prices, but it also intensifies competition for U.S. fruit, vegetable, and beef producers as cheaper imports regain market share.
Strong U.S. yields and steady demand leave most major crops well supplied, keeping price pressure in place unless usage strengthens or weather shifts outlooks.
Retail competition and improved supplies are helping offset food inflation, pushing Thanksgiving meal costs modestly lower despite higher prices for beef, eggs, and dairy.
While agriculture doesn’t predict every recession, the sector’s long history of turning down before the broader economy