Anticipation Builds for WASDE Report: Early Insights Hint at Potential Crop Yield Decline

Weather’s Impact on Crop Yields Sparks Market Speculation Ahead of WASDE Report

In just a few short hours, the agriculture sector will be abuzz with fresh insights on supply and demand, thanks to the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates(WASDE) report. What makes this report particularly intriguing is that it’s the first of its kind this year, offering yield estimates grounded in actual crop samples harvested across the Midwest.

Jim McCormick, the seasoned analyst from AgMarket.net, says corn yields might see a substantial drop of two bushels per acre, while soybeans could suffer a loss of nearly one bushel. The culprit behind these potential yield shifts? Drastic weather changes, he says, with a sigh of concern hinting at a smaller crop looming on the horizon.

But what does this mean for the commodities market? McCormick suggests that a downward adjustment in soybean yields could exert upward pressure on prices, potentially leading to favorable outcomes for soybean producers. However, the same cannot be said for corn, as its prices might not be as responsive to the anticipated yield changes.

McCormick also offers a unique perspective as he believes that, ultimately, the market’s reaction should be guided more by hard data from actual harvests rather than the initial WASDE report.

The WASDE report is set to be released today, Tuesday, Sept. 12, at 12 p.m. ET. RFD-TV News’ Market Day Report markets specialists will bring you the data as well as nuanced insights on the numbers as soon as they are available.

Related Stories
Agri Stats would no longer be allowed to show participant lists, rankings, or “flags,” and it could only report individual company data in narrow situations.
Officials say the tool could give Florida citrus growers another option against a disease that has devastated production for decades.
NCGA President Jed Bower joins us to discuss the House passage of year-round E15 legislation, potential opposition in the Senate, China trade talks, and spring planting progress.
Farmdoc economist estimates 2024 colony stock losses at roughly $175 million, with rebuilding and renovation costs near $161 million.
For dairy producers, that could help support fluid milk use in cafeterias, breakfast programs, and other child nutrition settings.
ASFMRA’s Chad Hertz joins us to discuss farmland trends, economic pressures facing producers, and how outside influences are shaping today’s land market.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

The analysis models how trade disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz may continue to drive up the cost of fertilizer.
March 15 of each year is the application deadline for the Pima Cotton Trust, and March 1 of each year is the application deadline for the Wool Trust. The law mandates trust payments by April 15. More information about these programs is available at www.fas.usda.gov/programs.
Tractor Supply’s Paper Clover Campaign raises millions of dollars each year for 4-H youth programs and scholarships. Local store community marketing manager Lexie Gamble joined Tuesday’s Market Day Report alongside 4-H student Matthew Rochford to discuss the partnership.
The cast of “Farmer Wants a Wife” joined us to share their stories and preview Season 4 of the series, which premieres April 21 on FOX.
Lane Howard and Adam Andrews with the National Corn Growers Association joined us in the studio discuss EPA’s approval of summer E15 sales, ongoing fuel market concerns, and the industry’s push for a long-term biofuels solution for farmers.
Alan Bjerga with the National Milk Producers Federation discusses how stewardship is driving efficiency, profitability, and competitiveness in the dairy industry.