Despite a projected record year for U.S. ag exports, economists believe those gains will not continue into 2023.
Analysts at Aimpoint Research say there are several factors at play, including Brazil’s corn and soybean crops. They say another challenge is the Mississippi River, with meteorologists not expecting a drastic rise until next year. If that is the case, Brazil could take over the soybean market.
Researchers also point to a stronger U.S. Dollar, which makes American ag products more expensive in the global market.
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Dr. Derrell Peel says long-term price relief will depend more on rebuilding the U.S. cattle herd than increasing imports.
Industry leaders say producers could still benefit even with many operations already using reduced-tax off-road diesel.
For producers, the next proof will be actual export sales, shipment pace, and buyer breakdowns.
