China Feed Output Surges Beyond Meat Growth

Rising Chinese feed output — especially for swine — signals sustained demand for protein meals and feed inputs, even when meat production growth appears modest.

NASHVILLE, TENN. (RFD NEWS) China’s animal feed production grew far faster than its meat and egg output in 2025, signaling continued structural shifts in the country’s livestock and grain demand, according to data compiled by retired U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) economist Fred Gale from the China Feed Industry Association and China’s National Bureau of Statistics.

Feed output rose 27.2 million metric tons to 342.25 million metric tons in 2025, while meat and egg production increased by just 3.2 million tons. Over the past decade, feed production climbed by 142 million tons — more than ten times the 13.8 million-ton increase in meat and egg output over the same period. Swine feed alone jumped 22.5 million tons last year to 166 million, accounting for nearly half of total feed production.

The feed-to-meat ratio widened further. Swine feed output equaled 2.8 times pork production of 59.4 million tons, up from ratios near 2.5-to-1 in recent years. Poultry feed ratios were even higher. Those figures exceed commonly cited on-farm feed conversion rates, suggesting continued shifts from on-farm mixing to commercial feed manufacturing and deeper integration in China’s livestock sector.

Soybean meal held steady at 13.4% of compound feed, while rapeseed and cottonseed meal use increased. Rice, wheat, and sorghum use declined. Feed production gains were concentrated in major provinces, including Shandong and Guangdong.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Rising Chinese feed output — especially for swine — signals sustained demand for protein meals and feed inputs, even when meat production growth appears modest.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Related Stories
Weak cold chain performance can lead to slower movement, higher costs, and greater product loss after harvest or processing.
USDA says total grain inspected for export reached 2.81 million metric tons for the week ending June 11.
Experts note that economic growth, fuel demand, and energy diversification are opening new opportunities for U.S. grain and ethanol exports in Southeast Asia.
Lewis Williamson with HTS Commodities joined us to discuss current crop conditions, USDA crop ratings, summer weather concerns, and the potential market impacts of developments in the Middle East.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

To qualify, land must be in the U.S., used substantially for farming in the last 10 years, and restricted from non-farm use for at least 10 years after the sale.
K-State economists say big swings in cattle futures can complicate hedging, margin calls, and timing of sales.
The Natural Resources Conservation Service says drought resilience starts before the next rainfall shortage.
Purdue data show stronger net returns for organic corn and soybeans despite lower yields and higher costs.
The agreement is expected to formally take effect on Friday, and markets will continue watching for signs that shipping traffic and global energy flows are returning to normal.
The agency also plans to strengthen workforce culture and modernize infrastructure and technology.