Consumers Stabilizing Spending as Price Awareness Persists Nationwide

Food demand is stable but price-sensitive across rural markets. For agriculture and rural communities, the important signal is not optimism — it is stability.

Cristen Clark_FarmHER S1_Ep 11

FarmHER Cristen Clark (Season 1, Episode 11)

FarmHER, Inc.

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD NEWS) — Households adjusting budgets signal steady but cautious demand across rural and farm economies.

Consumer confidence rose slightly to 42 percent in February, but remains below last year and pre-pandemic levels, according to Prosper Insights. For agriculture and rural communities, the important signal is not optimism — it is stability. Only 30.1 percent say their standard of living declined, improving from last month, suggesting food demand destruction is easing.

Spending behavior shows adaptation rather than cutbacks. About 17.6 percent reduced grocery spending because of fuel costs, while 41.4 percent reported gas prices no longer materially changing spending patterns. Consumers are shifting to store brands, coupons, and value-focused retailers — behavior that typically stabilizes protein and staple demand rather than collapsing it.

Operationally, the 90-day spending outlook improved, and vehicle purchase plans increased. That matters for rural America, where pickup sales, parts demand, and service activity are tied to farm income expectations and mobility needs.

The data also shows continued price awareness across groceries and utilities — meaning food inflation sensitivity remains high, limiting retailers’ ability to quickly pass through higher farm-level costs.

Related Stories
Mixed product pricing and rising milk supplies suggest margin management will remain critical as 2026 unfolds.
Corn and soybean exports continue to anchor weekly inspection totals, with China maintaining a visible role, while wheat and sorghum remain more dependent on regional and seasonal demand shifts.
Lewis Williamson of HTS Commodities joined us with an update on the historic winter storm impacts and his outlook on today’s ag markets.
Marilyn Schlake with the UNL Department of Agricultural Economics joined us for a closer look at the evolving role of livestock sale barns.
Rail continues to carry a larger share of the grain load, increasing sensitivity to rail capacity, labor, and pricing conditions.
Meat stocks rose seasonally but remain below last year overall, while tighter butter inventories could support dairy prices, and belly stocks warrant close watch for pork markets.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Rural population growth and stabilizing economic indicators point to post-pandemic recovery, but uneven income, shifting industries, and regional divides remain key challenges for rural communities.
Large-scale land purchases signal rising competition for ranchland, reinforcing its value while reshaping long-term access and control in rural agriculture.
Moderate oil prices may ease fuel costs, but continued caution in the energy sector could limit rural economic growth.
Decoupled base acres may amplify income inequality and distort planting decisions as farm program payments increase.
Large Brazilian crops heighten downside price risk if the weather allows production to reach projected levels.
Oil-led rallies can move soybean prices quickly, but sustained gains will require continued strength in soybean oil and broader biofuel demand signals.