Corn Inspections Surge Year-to-Date While Soybeans Exports Trail Significantly

Export strength is concentrated in corn and wheat, while soybeans and sorghum lag, keeping basis and logistics dynamics highly commodity-specific into late fall.

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — U.S. grain export inspections picked up momentum in the latest reporting week, with corn exports leading the board and wheat and soybeans showing steady movement.

According to the USDA’s Federal Grain Inspection Service, total inspected volumes reached 2.84 million metric tons for the week ending November 6, slightly below the previous week but above the same week a year ago. Corn topped all commodities at 1.42 million metric tons, aided by strong movement through the Gulf and Interior regions as global buyers continue to secure fall-harvest supplies.

Export inspections show a mixed year-to-date picture — overall volumes are up modestly while commodity trends diverge. Through November 6, total grain inspections are running about 1.5 percent above last year, reflecting firmer wheat and corn movement offset by notably weaker soybeans and sorghum.

Corn is the clear standout, running about 66 percent ahead of last year as global buyers rebuild pipeline coverage after a slow 2024. Wheat continues to outperform, up about 19 percent year-over-year on steady West Coast loadings and improved competitiveness. Barley is modestly higher, up about five percent.

On the downside, soybeans remain well behind last season, down about 42 percent, as Brazil’s large crop and aggressive offers continue to dominate early-season trade. China has agreed to purchase around 12 million metric tons of U.S. soybeans before the year is up. Then they have committed to buy another 25 million metric tons each year for the next three years.

“We’ve been operating without the government here for a while,” said economist Dewey Strickler with Ag Watch Market Advisors. “I think what it is, a lot of it has just been optimism about, you know, China purchasing soybeans and so forth. They may purchase some soybeans, but I have an idea -- you know, we’re going to run into some problems because of the fact that in their contract or whatever agreement they have -- what we need to see are actual shipments. Purchases are fine, but purchases are just a burden in the bush. We need to see a bird in the hand, which are actual shipments.”

Sorghum exports are also under pressure — about 63 percent lower than a year ago — reflecting tighter U.S. supplies and shifting demand. The weekly tally still shows corn leading current shipments, but the YTD story centers on the corn/wheat strength versus soybean/sorghum softness.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Export strength is concentrated in corn and wheat, while soybeans and sorghum lag, keeping basis and logistics dynamics highly commodity-specific into late fall.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Expert
Related Stories
Strong pork demand and improving beef exports outside China support protein markets despite ongoing trade barriers.
Market reaction was bearish for corn and soybeans, with analysts noting that abundant supplies amid tepid demand could keep price pressure on agricultural commodities.
Logistics capacity remains available, but winter volatility favors flexible delivery and marketing plans. NGFA President Mike Seyfert provides insight into grain transportation trends, trade policy, and priorities for the year ahead.
Traders are keeping a close eye on China’s soybean purchases as markets track export sales, shipments, and progress toward the ‘magical’ 12 million ton target promised last year.
As domestic production and blending slowed, export demand remained a clear bright spot.
In a post to social media, Trump said Venezuela will buy American agriculture products and will use the money from oil sales to make it happen.
Rail strength is helping stabilize grain movement, but river and export slowdowns continue to limit overall logistics momentum.
China continues to buy U.S. soybeans toward its 12 MMT commitment, as analysts cite data gaps, delivery timing questions, and muted market reaction.
Higher ethanol blend rates translate directly into stronger, more durable corn demand if regulatory momentum holds.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Expanded school access to whole milk provides modest but reliable demand support for U.S. dairy producers.
The American Farm Bureau Federation’s 2026 agenda centers on labor stability, biosecurity, and economic resilience for family farms. Expanded DMC coverage improves risk protection for dairy operations facing tighter margins.
Agronomy experts explain why standing crop residue protects soil and reduces costs for crop growers, while shredding often yields little benefit at higher costs.
Freight volatility increasingly determines export margins, making logistics costs as important as price in marketing decisions.
China’s beef policy risk stems from domestic volatility, making export demand inherently unstable. Jake Charleston with Specialty Risk Insurance offers his perspective on cattle markets, risk management, and producer sentiment.
Larger grain stocks increase supply pressure, but strong fall disappearance — especially for corn and sorghum — suggests demand remains an important offset.