Corn Inspections Surge Year-to-Date While Soybeans Exports Trail Significantly

Export strength is concentrated in corn and wheat, while soybeans and sorghum lag, keeping basis and logistics dynamics highly commodity-specific into late fall.

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — U.S. grain export inspections picked up momentum in the latest reporting week, with corn exports leading the board and wheat and soybeans showing steady movement.

According to the USDA’s Federal Grain Inspection Service, total inspected volumes reached 2.84 million metric tons for the week ending November 6, slightly below the previous week but above the same week a year ago. Corn topped all commodities at 1.42 million metric tons, aided by strong movement through the Gulf and Interior regions as global buyers continue to secure fall-harvest supplies.

Export inspections show a mixed year-to-date picture — overall volumes are up modestly while commodity trends diverge. Through November 6, total grain inspections are running about 1.5 percent above last year, reflecting firmer wheat and corn movement offset by notably weaker soybeans and sorghum.

Corn is the clear standout, running about 66 percent ahead of last year as global buyers rebuild pipeline coverage after a slow 2024. Wheat continues to outperform, up about 19 percent year-over-year on steady West Coast loadings and improved competitiveness. Barley is modestly higher, up about five percent.

On the downside, soybeans remain well behind last season, down about 42 percent, as Brazil’s large crop and aggressive offers continue to dominate early-season trade. China has agreed to purchase around 12 million metric tons of U.S. soybeans before the year is up. Then they have committed to buy another 25 million metric tons each year for the next three years.

“We’ve been operating without the government here for a while,” said economist Dewey Strickler with Ag Watch Market Advisors. “I think what it is, a lot of it has just been optimism about, you know, China purchasing soybeans and so forth. They may purchase some soybeans, but I have an idea -- you know, we’re going to run into some problems because of the fact that in their contract or whatever agreement they have -- what we need to see are actual shipments. Purchases are fine, but purchases are just a burden in the bush. We need to see a bird in the hand, which are actual shipments.”

Sorghum exports are also under pressure — about 63 percent lower than a year ago — reflecting tighter U.S. supplies and shifting demand. The weekly tally still shows corn leading current shipments, but the YTD story centers on the corn/wheat strength versus soybean/sorghum softness.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Export strength is concentrated in corn and wheat, while soybeans and sorghum lag, keeping basis and logistics dynamics highly commodity-specific into late fall.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Expert
Related Stories
Jarrod Hardke with the University of Arkansas break down extreme drought conditions, shifting planting decisions, and the impact of rising input costs on Arkansas agriculture this season.
Louisiana farmers say high water levels routinely threaten crops, highlighting the need for critical infrastructure and sustainability efforts in the Bayou.
Tariff refunds are underway, potentially returning billions to importers, as agriculture groups push for a larger role in trade policy and investigations.
Patrick De Haan with GasBuddy joined us to discuss diesel price volatility and what farmers can expect as geopolitical tensions continue to impact energy markets.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Brooks York with AgriSompo addresses how current market conditions and risk management are impacted by volatility in the Middle East, and considerations for farmers in the spring planting season.
Farm CPA Paul Neiffer provided guidance on navigating the R&D tax credit, emphasizing record-keeping, eligibility, and maximizing potential savings as crop margins remain the key pressure point for farmers.
Justin Tupper with the U.S. Cattlemen’s Association joins us to discuss the USDA’s voluntary labeling updates, industry priorities, and the outlook for U.S. cattle producers.
Tight red meat supplies continue supporting livestock markets.
Higher machinery costs are raising per-acre production expenses.
As farmers and ranchers navigate rising input costs, lawmakers are considering a roughly $15 billion aid package to help, which would be tied to the spending bill for the war with Iran.