Corn, Soybean Export Costs Shift With Freight Volatility

Freight volatility increasingly determines export margins, making logistics costs as important as price in marketing decisions.

Corn-Soybeans_AlfRibeiro-AdobeStock_335629402_1920x1080.jpg

AlfRibeiro – stock.adobe.com

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD NEWS) — U.S. corn and soybean export economics shifted noticeably in the third quarter of 2025 as transportation costs rose from the previous quarter but remained lower than a year earlier, underscoring how logistics — not farm prices alone — continue to shape export competitiveness.

From the second to the third quarter, transportation costs from Minneapolis to Japan increased for both corn and soybeans through the U.S. Gulf and Pacific Northwest. The quarter-to-quarter rise was driven primarily by higher ocean freight rates, reflecting strong global bulk demand, seasonal shipping patterns, and temporary logistical constraints. Gulf-route transportation costs jumped 14 percent for both crops, fueled by an 18 percent increase in barge rates and a 17 percent rise in ocean freight, partially offset by slightly lower trucking costs.

Despite higher freight costs, total landed costs were cushioned by weaker farm values. Corn farm prices fell nearly 12 percent quarter to quarter, while soybean values declined about 3 percent. As a result, total landed costs through the Gulf fell 3 percent for corn and rose just 1 percent for soybeans.

Year over year, the picture was more favorable. Transportation costs declined modestly on both routes as truck, rail, and ocean freight rates eased. Total landed costs fell for both commodities, particularly soybeans, improving U.S. export competitiveness.

Inspection data confirmed strong Gulf export flows, while Pacific Northwest corn shipments surged on Asian demand. USDA projects corn exports will rise in 2025/26, while soybean exports are expected to decline.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Freight volatility increasingly determines export margins, making logistics costs as important as price in marketing decisions.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Related Stories
A fast-moving series of trade signals from the White House and key partners is resetting the near-term outlook for U.S. agriculture.
Stay alert for trade announcements—especially border reopening timelines, tariff threats, and developments in Brazil’s export flows.
Margin Protection and the new MCO add county-level margin tools — with earlier price discovery, input cost triggers, and high subsidy rates — to complement on-farm risk plans for 2026.
Set targets and use forwards, futures, or options to manage downside while preserving room for rallies.
Bangladesh’s buying surge offers temporary relief for U.S. farmers facing weaker Chinese demand, highlighting how global politics can reshape export outlets overnight.
American Farm Bureau Federation (AFBF) economist Bernt Nelson provides an updated outlook on the current U.S. cattle market.
Sen. Roger Marshall explains which types of beef are imported into the United States, how there’s room for new imports, and logical reasons for current high prices.
Record Australian exports and rising U.S. imports reflect continued tight domestic cattle supplies — a reminder that herd recovery remains key to balancing future beef prices.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Only properly documented, unexhausted fertilizer applied by prior owners may qualify for Section 180 expensing; broader nutrient-based claims carry significant legal and tax risk.
Urea and phosphate see the biggest price relief from tariff exemptions, but nitrogen markets remain tight, and spring demand will still dictate pricing momentum.
Lower turkey and wheat prices helped ease Thanksgiving costs, but underlying farm-sector pressures remain significant.
Cattle and hog supplies continue to tighten while dairy output expands, creating a split outlook in which red-meat prices soften and milk values come under pressure from larger supplies.
Firm live cow prices and shifting dairy-side culling suggest cull cow values may stay stronger than usual this winter despite weaker cow beef cutout trends.
Lewis Williamson with HTS Commodities shares an update on post-WASDE grain movement, with corn leading export momentum, soybeans steady, and wheat and sorghum continuing to move selectively.