Dairy Margins Tighten As Feed Costs Keep Rising

Dairy margins are expected to tighten as feed costs rise and milk prices remain relatively steady.

LUBBOCK, Texas (RFD News) — Dairy producers face tighter margins heading into fall as weaker milk prices meet rising feed, fuel, and financing costs. The Dairy Margin Coverage margin fell to $9.93 per hundredweight in July, down 95 cents from June.

The all-milk price declined 80 cents to $20.30 per hundredweight, while Dairy Margin Coverage feed costs increased 15 cents to $10.37. Soybean meal averaged $337.96 per ton, up sharply from a year earlier, while corn averaged $4.26 per bushel.

The report (PDF Version) says rising corn and soybean meal futures could push feed costs toward $12 per hundredweight during the final three months of 2026. It projects margins falling below the $9.50 maximum payment threshold from September through December.

Producers are also facing diesel prices above $6 per gallon, increasing hauling and on-farm costs. Higher interest rates and a volatile bond market could further raise the cost of capital.

Milk prices are expected to remain relatively steady, leaving feed and operating expenses as key pressure points through year-end.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Dairy producers could face tighter margins this fall as feed, fuel and financing costs rise faster than milk prices.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

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