December Farm Prices Slide as Input Costs Rise

Falling livestock prices, combined with higher input costs, continue to squeeze farm profitability heading into 2026.

IMG_8434 copy.jpg

FarmHER, Inc.

WASHINGTON, D.C. (RFD NEWS) — U.S. farm price relationships weakened further at the end of 2025 as prices received by producers declined while costs continued to climb, tightening margins across much of agriculture. USDA’s December Agricultural Prices report (PDF Version) shows broad pressure on livestock values alongside modest relief in select crop markets.

The December Prices Received Index fell 3.1 percent from November and 4.6 percent from a year earlier. Crop prices were mixed, with the Crop Production Index down 2.4 percent month to month but still 3.4 percent above December 2024. Livestock prices drove most of the decline, with the Livestock Production Index dropping 5.7 percent from November and 13 percent from a year ago. Lower prices for cattle, milk, eggs, and lettuce outweighed gains in broilers, corn, grapes, and calves.

At the same time, input costs continued to rise. The Prices Paid Index increased 0.3 percent from November and stood 8.5 percent higher than a year earlier. Higher costs for feeder cattle, feeder pigs, nitrogen, and concentrates offset lower fuel, feed, and forage prices.

The ratio of prices received to prices paid slipped to 79, underscoring ongoing margin stress.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Falling livestock prices combined with higher input costs continue to squeeze farm profitability heading into 2026.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Related Stories
HTS Commodities’ Lewis Williamson joins us to recap USDA’s latest Crop Progress Report, troubling winter wheat conditions, and key market factors shaping the markets as the growing season progresses.
Producers should coordinate immediately with their CPA and legal counsel to ensure their corporate structures and operational realities are perfectly aligned before the September deadline.
Farm Bureau economist John Newton says farm income has declined every quarter for three years.
A new survey of agricultural lenders points to increasing financial stress across the Ninth District.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Seasonal beef production gains may moderate retail price pressure, while tight cattle supplies continue supporting producer values.
Higher rail fuel surcharges could add cost pressure even as wheat production falls and grain movement remains active.
New Fed surveys show farmland values remain historically high, though some Upper Midwest markets are beginning to soften.
Brazil Potash CEO Matt Simpson discusses global fertilizer security, the importance of domestic production, and Brazil’s push toward fertilizer independence, which could impact market competitiveness.
The DOJ is conducting a criminal antitrust investigation into major beef processors, following years of concern over market concentration.
Commercial performance will determine whether the specialty sorghum market can expand across poultry-producing regions.