December Farm Prices Slide as Input Costs Rise

Falling livestock prices, combined with higher input costs, continue to squeeze farm profitability heading into 2026.

IMG_8434 copy.jpg

FarmHER, Inc.

WASHINGTON, D.C. (RFD NEWS) — U.S. farm price relationships weakened further at the end of 2025 as prices received by producers declined while costs continued to climb, tightening margins across much of agriculture. USDA’s December Agricultural Prices report (PDF Version) shows broad pressure on livestock values alongside modest relief in select crop markets.

The December Prices Received Index fell 3.1 percent from November and 4.6 percent from a year earlier. Crop prices were mixed, with the Crop Production Index down 2.4 percent month to month but still 3.4 percent above December 2024. Livestock prices drove most of the decline, with the Livestock Production Index dropping 5.7 percent from November and 13 percent from a year ago. Lower prices for cattle, milk, eggs, and lettuce outweighed gains in broilers, corn, grapes, and calves.

At the same time, input costs continued to rise. The Prices Paid Index increased 0.3 percent from November and stood 8.5 percent higher than a year earlier. Higher costs for feeder cattle, feeder pigs, nitrogen, and concentrates offset lower fuel, feed, and forage prices.

The ratio of prices received to prices paid slipped to 79, underscoring ongoing margin stress.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Falling livestock prices combined with higher input costs continue to squeeze farm profitability heading into 2026.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Related Stories
Farm CPA Paul Neiffer joined us to break down the recent Fifth Circuit Court decision overturning a prior Tax Court decision on self-employment tax for limited partners, the ruling’s impact on farmers, and potential next steps in Congress.
Americans for Prosperity Arkansas Director Ryan Norris talks energy infrastructure, regulatory reform, and the role of critical minerals in supporting rural America.
Rural population growth and stabilizing economic indicators point to post-pandemic recovery, but uneven income, shifting industries, and regional divides remain key challenges for rural communities.
Large-scale land purchases signal rising competition for ranchland, reinforcing its value while reshaping long-term access and control in rural agriculture.
Moderate oil prices may ease fuel costs, but continued caution in the energy sector could limit rural economic growth.
Decoupled base acres may amplify income inequality and distort planting decisions as farm program payments increase.
The Farm Bureau is making an urgent call to Congress for more farm support. Colton Lacina with Farmers National Company joined us to discuss farmland values and how market dynamics for the year ahead reflect stabilization rather than collapse.
Corn and wheat exports remain a demand bright spot, while soybeans are transitioning into a more typical late-winter shipping slowdown.
Despite rising costs and growing food insecurity, meat demand remained strong in 2025 as higher-income consumers offset cutbacks elsewhere. Economists break down the K-shaped economy, upcoming USDA cattle reports, livestock production outlooks, and renewed debate over beef imports and country-of-origin labeling heading into 2026.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

A mid-January winter storm delivered snow, ice, and extreme cold to a broad swath of the U.S., disrupting transportation, stressing livestock systems, and adding cost and complexity to winter farm operations as producers look toward spring.
Heavier weights and strong late-year slaughter supported December production, but lower annual totals highlight ongoing supply tightness heading into 2026.
Strong production and rising stocks may pressure ethanol margins unless demand or exports continue to improve.
Rising import pressure and tougher export competition are likely to persist into 2026, supporting domestic supplies while capping export growth.
Without additional support, many soybean operations will continue to face financial stress as they prepare for the 2026 crop.
Placements and marketings beat expectations, but declining on-feed totals and feeder constraints keep the supply story supportive for cattle prices into 2026. Dr. Derrell Peel, with Oklahoma State University, joined us to break down cattle-on-feed numbers and provide his broader market outlook.