Diesel Prices Fall Again, But Outlook Remains High

Diesel has eased for now, but the larger 2026 energy outlook still points to elevated fuel costs.

diesel.jpg

Market Day Report

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD NEWS) — Diesel prices fell for a second straight week, giving farmers and freight users a little short-term relief. That matters because fuel costs affect fieldwork, trucking, grain hauling, and nearly every part of the supply chain.

According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration, the national average diesel price was $5.403 per gallon for the week ending April 20. That was down 20.5 cents from the previous week, the largest weekly drop since December 2022.

Even with the recent break, diesel remains far above year-ago levels. The national average was still 186.9 cents per gallon higher than the same week last year. Over the last two weeks, diesel has fallen 24 cents after rising for 12 consecutive weeks.

The broader outlook still points higher. EIA projects Brent crude oil will average $115 per barrel in the second quarter of 2026, then ease later. For the full year, Brent is projected to average $96 per barrel, sharply above 2025 levels.

EIA also projects diesel will average $4.80 per gallon in 2026. Officials said higher crude prices, tight global diesel supplies, and low U.S. inventories are keeping pressure on fuel markets.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Diesel has eased for now, but the larger 2026 energy outlook still points to elevated fuel costs.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist
Related Stories
USDA Chief Economist Justin Benavidez says the cattle industry may be nearing a turning point that could gradually reshape supply, prices, and profitability in the years ahead.
Purdue University’s Dr. Michael Langemeier joins us to break down the latest read on farmer sentiment in the April Ag Economy Barometer, and growing concerns about the impact of global conflict on farm inputs and income.
Higher freight rates and potential service disruptions are key concerns for agriculture, which relies heavily on rail to move commodities.
Growth Energy CEO Emily Skor joins us to discuss the uncertain path for year-round E15 sales and the next steps as the issue heads toward a standalone House vote after it was stripped from the Farm Bill.
Dr. Ernie Goss joined us to break down the latest Rural Main Street Index, discuss pressures on farm finances and equipment sales, and share expectations for the ag economy ahead.
In an exclusive interview with RFD News correspondent Frank McCaffrey, Congressman Henry Cuellar (D-TX) expresses frustration with delays and increasing political divisions surrounding the bill.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Producers may need to prepare for margin pressure in livestock feeding, while dairy farmers could benefit from stronger product demand.
Farmers await concrete trade commitments from China. Until then, export prospects for soybeans, corn, and sorghum remain uncertain against strong South American competition.
National Sorghum Producers CEO Tim Lust said farmers face a challenging year with strong supply, murky trade conditions, and uncertain access to their largest market: China.
RFD-TV Markets Expert Tony St. James breaks down the state of agribusiness and harvest progress across the U.S. for the week of Monday, September 15, 2025.
U.S. trade talks with China resume, but meat industry leaders say dealing with shifting demand and market uncertainty is nothing new in this side of the ag sector.
Tariffs are pushing up input costs, with fertilizer prices rising $100 per ton and machinery costs climbing due to steel and parts duties.