U.S. Meat Exports See Record Demand Despite Lingering Trade Tension With China

U.S. trade talks with China resume, but meat industry leaders say dealing with shifting demand and market uncertainty is nothing new in this side of the ag sector.

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — Officials are back in Madrid for another round of trade talks. Tariffs are paused through November, but tensions remain. China has yet to book new U.S. soybeans, and demand for other crops is soft.

The U.S. Meat Export Federation notes that these challenges are nothing new, citing record global demand for U.S. beef and pork. Industry leaders remain confident that, despite tariffs, a stable market can still be achieved. Analysts also say all eyes should be on Brazil, where tariffs could affect the U.S. beef supply and market balance.

Rising productivity is reshaping beef and pork markets, allowing steady output with fewer breeding animals. Lamb production, however, illustrates how consumer demand and breed shifts can reduce per-animal output, creating different pressures within the industry.

Productivity Trends Shape Beef, Pork, and Lamb Output

Livestock economist Dr. David Anderson of Texas A&M University says rising productivity explains how U.S. beef production remains strong despite the smallest cow herd since 1961.

Beef production per cow has climbed from 629 pounds in 2000 to 724 pounds in 2024, largely driven by heavier dressed weights rather than calving rate improvements. Per beef cow only, output soared from 166 pounds in 2000 to 966 pounds in 2024.

In pork, productivity has surged even faster, with production per sow up 52 percent since 2000. Gains came from more pigs per litter, more litters per year, and heavier hog weights. Average pigs per litter rose from 8.8 in 2000 to nearly 11.8 in 2024, while dressed weights climbed to 212 pounds. Disease events like PEDv have slowed progress, but the long-term trend remains higher.

Lamb production tells a different story, with output per ewe falling from 57 pounds in 2000 to 48 pounds in 2024. The shift reflects consumer demand for smaller carcasses and the rise of hair sheep breeds.

Related Stories
Courtney Knupp wants faster results as soybean growers face challenging market conditions.
Both sides say there is little room left for compromise as negotiations continue.
The Securing Agriculture’s Workforce Act would expand access to year-round livestock and dairy operations.
The proposed extension would keep the small producer credit in place through 2029.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

A federal court ruled FSA cannot use an internal handbook to create eligibility restrictions for county committee candidates that are not supported by law or regulation.
New IRS guidance clarifies tax deferral rules for qualifying farmland sales, including requirements for sellers and buyers and limits on installment sales.
Golden Harvest is introducing five new DuraStack and DuraStack-Viptera corn hybrids for 2027, offering new options for corn rootworm and insect management.
Shaun Haney says U.S.-Canada trade tensions have entered a “slow roll,” leaving businesses and farmers uncertain about the future of USMCA.
Nationwide Agribusiness says harvest is a good time for farmers and ranchers to review fire, wind, hail and equipment risks across their operations.
Drought and changing cattle supplies could keep pressure on producer margins through the end of the year.
China remained the leading destination for U.S. soybeans as weekly sales declined.
Lower milk and calf prices are providing less support as feed costs move higher.
Early imports under the temporary quota remain well below the amount allowed.
The program will offer more funding and give states greater flexibility in choosing eligible practices.
New research shows AI investment helped support the economy as tariffs increased.
The order suspends penalties for highway use of dyed diesel through the end of the year.