Diesel Prices Keep Rising as Middle East Tensions Continue

Kansas State University agricultural economist Dr. Gregg Ibendahl discusses rising diesel prices, the influence of global oil markets, and the potential impact on farmers heading into the spring planting season.

diesel.jpg

Market Day Report

NASHVILLE, TENN. (RFD NEWS) — Diesel prices are climbing toward $5 per gallon following sharp spikes in global oil markets, adding new cost pressures for farmers preparing for spring planting.

According to AAA, the national average for a gallon of diesel has reached $4.98, up from $4.65 just one week ago. A month ago, diesel averaged $3.64 per gallon, and one year ago it was about $3.60. The surge comes as Brent crude oil prices topped $105 per barrel amid ongoing disruptions tied to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical global energy shipping route.

Dr. Gregg Ibendahl, an agricultural economist with Kansas State University, joined us on Monday’s Market Day Report to discuss what historical oil and gas price trends might suggest for pump prices in the current climate.

In his interview with RFD NEWS, Ibendahl explained that crude oil prices are a key driver of fuel costs, and major disruptions to transportation routes can quickly ripple through energy markets.

With the Strait of Hormuz remaining closed, Ibendahl noted the potential for longer-term impacts if shipping disruptions persist. Higher fuel prices could significantly increase operating costs for farmers, particularly as they begin spring planting and rely heavily on diesel for fieldwork and transportation.

Ibendahl also discussed how quickly markets might stabilize if the geopolitical situation is resolved. While crude oil prices can react quickly to new developments, it may take longer for those changes to filter down to diesel prices at the pump.

Related Stories
At Commodity Classic in San Antonio, growers explore new herbicide options, John Deere’s latest 8 Series tractors, and cutting-edge ag technology shaping the 2026 planting season. Here are some of RFD NEWS’ highlights from the event so far.
Farm CPA Paul Neiffer provided insight on updated PLC rate estimates, the role of base acres, and the upcoming enrollment window for ARC and PLC programs.
Farm Bureau economist Danny Munch explains the importance of timely enrollment, and how the program helps dairy producers safeguard their operations against volatile milk markets.
National FFA Annual Fund Manager Kimberly Coveney encouraged everyone watching to join the effort today and help celebrate Give FFA Day while investing in the next generation of agricultural leaders.

Marion is a digital content manager for RFD News and FarmHER + RanchHER. She started working for Rural Media Group in May 2022, bringing a decade of digital experience in broadcast media and some cooking experience to the team.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

The newly elected Executive Vice President of the Tennessee Cattlemen’s Association (TCA), Dale Parker, joins us on-set to share his vision for his state’s cattle industry.
A leading Oklahoma veterinarian explains common symptoms of Equine Herpes Virus (EHV) and warns owners to remain vigilant because it can spread quickly among horses.
National FFA President Trey Myers joins Monday’s FFA Today to share his hopes and goals for the 2025-2026 year as he steps into this opportunity to lead and serve the next generation of agriculture.
Watch the special this Saturday at 6:00 PM Eastern on RFD-TV
Despite the need for swift action, many ag lawmakers and industry groups argue that farm aid alone will likely not be sufficient to help farmers without improved trade relations with China.
Tyson’s capacity cuts weaken local basis, tighten kill space, and heighten dependence on imports, signaling more volatility for producers.