Diesel Prices Keep Rising as Middle East Tensions Continue

Kansas State University agricultural economist Dr. Gregg Ibendahl discusses rising diesel prices, the influence of global oil markets, and the potential impact on farmers heading into the spring planting season.

diesel.jpg

Market Day Report

NASHVILLE, TENN. (RFD NEWS) — Diesel prices are climbing toward $5 per gallon following sharp spikes in global oil markets, adding new cost pressures for farmers preparing for spring planting.

According to AAA, the national average for a gallon of diesel has reached $4.98, up from $4.65 just one week ago. A month ago, diesel averaged $3.64 per gallon, and one year ago it was about $3.60. The surge comes as Brent crude oil prices topped $105 per barrel amid ongoing disruptions tied to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical global energy shipping route.

Dr. Gregg Ibendahl, an agricultural economist with Kansas State University, joined us on Monday’s Market Day Report to discuss what historical oil and gas price trends might suggest for pump prices in the current climate.

In his interview with RFD NEWS, Ibendahl explained that crude oil prices are a key driver of fuel costs, and major disruptions to transportation routes can quickly ripple through energy markets.

With the Strait of Hormuz remaining closed, Ibendahl noted the potential for longer-term impacts if shipping disruptions persist. Higher fuel prices could significantly increase operating costs for farmers, particularly as they begin spring planting and rely heavily on diesel for fieldwork and transportation.

Ibendahl also discussed how quickly markets might stabilize if the geopolitical situation is resolved. While crude oil prices can react quickly to new developments, it may take longer for those changes to filter down to diesel prices at the pump.

Related Stories
AFBF Vice President of Public Policy and Economic Analysis, Dr. John Newton, explains the factors contributing to the growing financial strain in the ag sector and the urgent need for swift economic support.
Shaun Haney, host of RealAg Radio, provides the latest insight into the timing, expectations, and broader considerations of the potential aid package, despite increasing exports to China.
Farm legal expert Roger McEowen reviews the history of the Waters of the United States (WOTUS) rule and outlines how shifting definitions across multiple administrations have created regulatory confusion for landowners.
According to November’s Cattle on Feed Report, Nebraska now leads the nation in cattle feeding as tighter supplies continue to reshape regional market power and long-term price dynamics.
Mike Steenhoek of the Soy Transportation Coalition discusses industry reactions to the proposed Union Pacific–Norfolk Southern merger, the Surface Transportation Board’s review process, and current conditions on the Mississippi River.

Marion is a digital content manager for RFD News and FarmHER + RanchHER. She started working for Rural Media Group in May 2022, bringing a decade of digital experience in broadcast media and some cooking experience to the team.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Weather, Tight Supplies, and Planning Shape Farm Decisions
Cotton demand depends on demonstrating performance and reliability buyers can rely on, not messaging alone.
Read the full press release published by the U.S. Department of Agriculture.
Lily Pryer’s passion shows how National FFA members are making an impact in classrooms and communities all across Rural America.
A look at the legislative year ahead as lawmakers return to Washington with a slate of trade concerns to tackle in 2026—from new Chinese tariffs on beef imports to the USMCA review this summer.
Shaun Haney, Host of RealAg Radio on Rural Radio SiriusXM Channel 147, joined us with his 2026 cattle market outlook and insights on beef prices.