Ethanol and Corn Gains Traction As Marine, SAF, and E15 Demand Expands

Ethanol producers face a widening opportunity window as aviation and marine fuel markets expand, with the potential to add billions in demand if policy and certification align.

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV)— The International Maritime Organization (IMO), the U.N. body regulating global shipping, is pushing for net-zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050, with benchmarks set for 2030 and 2040. That’s creating new demand for low-carbon fuels, and ethanol may be well-positioned. Corn growers are also looking to the national adoption of E15 sales as another way to boost sales and the economy.

Ethanol Finds Footing in Sustainable Aviation Fuel

Ankit Chandra of the U.S. Grains & BioProducts Council (USGBC) points out that America already has 18 billion gallons of ethanol production capacity, record exports of nearly 2 billion gallons last year, and the infrastructure of ports, rail, and barges to deliver supply chains today.

The global Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) market is forecast to surge from $2.06 billion in 2025 to $25.62 billion by 2030, a compound annual growth rate of nearly 65 percent. Meanwhile, marine biofuels used in shipping were valued at $3.94 billion in 2024 and are projected to almost double by 2034.

For U.S. farmers, this could mean expanded demand for corn ethanol, soybean oil, and biomass as feedstocks for SAF and marine fuels. Success, however, depends on carbon certification standards, compliance with IMO and SAF rules, engine approvals, and investments in conversion and logistics.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Ethanol producers face a widening opportunity window as aviation and marine fuel markets expand, with the potential to add billions in demand if policy and certification align.

Could Year-Round E15 Bring in the Big Bucks?

According to a new study for the Renewable Fuels Association (RFA) and the National Corn Growers Association (NCGA), unrestricted sales of the corn-based biofuel could have a $25 billion economic impact while also helping to create a home for increased corn production.

Krista Swanson with the NGCA joined us on Friday’s Market Day Report for a closer look at the data. In her interview with RFD-TV News, Swanson outlined some of the study’s key findings and the primary impacts national, year-round E15 sales could have on the economy as a whole.

Swanson also discussed the upcoming corn harvest, which the USDA forecasted could be the largest in history, and how much of that crop still needs a home – and if higher-blend biofuel could be the answer. Lastly, she discussed how the study could impact regulatory decisions as Congress considers the Nationwide Consumer and Fuel Retailer Choice Act.

Related Stories
Quick to prep and packed with flavor, this dish is a bold way to kick up any weekend spread.
Modest rate relief may come late in 2026, but borrowing costs are likely to stay elevated.
U.S. Senator Roger Marshall of Kansas discusses expected changes to the 45Z tax credit and what they could mean for agriculture and rural America.
Purdue University Professor of Agricultural Economics Dr. Jim Mintert shares a closer look at farmer sentiment and the key issues shaping the agricultural economy in January.
China-led demand continues to anchor soybean and sorghum exports despite weekly swings.
Shrinking slaughter capacity may delay heifer retention, complicating herd rebuilding plans.
RealAg Radio host Shaun Haney says farmers there are already sounding the alarm about what this could mean for the future of ag research.
Global pork production is expected to rise in the first half of 2026, despite trade volatility stemming from shifting import policies and swine disease pressures.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

The Washington Tree Fruit Association says this is not surprising and notes the USDA has offered a lifeline to growers while they transition away from the cannery market.
Searches for “struggle meal” hit a record high in September, and #strugglemeals posts are climbing on Instagram and TikTok, reflecting a wave of budget-cooking content.
CoBank Lead Grains Economist Tanner Ehmke joins us to share insight and concerns over current grain storage capacity as export demand lags.
Farm CPA Paul Neiffer shares his perspective on the uncertain outlook of federal farm relief and the Farm Bill, which may not materialize until the government shutdown ends.
Large animal veterinarian Dr. Rosalyn Biggs with Oklahoma State University warns producers may not be prepared for the real threat of New World Screwworm.