NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD NEWS) — U.S. ethanol markets opened 2026 with mixed signals, as domestic production and blending slowed while export demand remained a clear bright spot. Weekly data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration, analyzed by the Renewable Fuels Association, show ethanol production fell 2.0 percent to 1.10 million barrels per day in early January, slightly below last year but still well above the three-year average.
Domestic demand softened alongside lower gasoline consumption. Ethanol blending by refiners dropped sharply, hitting the lowest level since early 2023, while implied gasoline demand declined nearly five percent week over week. Ethanol stocks increased modestly, though inventories remain below both last year and the three-year average, suggesting supply is not burdensome.
In contrast, exports provided strong support. October ethanol exports surged 25 percent to a record 185 million gallons, led by Canada and by solid gains across Europe and Asia. Year-to-date ethanol exports are running 13 percent ahead of last year. DDGS exports were mixed, with steady demand from Mexico offset by weaker shipments to parts of Asia.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Export strength continues to underpin ethanol and corn demand, even as domestic fuel use shows seasonal softness.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist
NRECA CEO Jim Matheson reacts to the U.S. House’s passage of the SPEED Act, which aims to streamline federal permitting for energy and infrastructure projects, and discusses its potential impact on rural communities.
December 19, 2025 01:14 PM
·
Cattle markets are watching the Cattle-on-Feed Report for signs of tighter supplies, while USMEF warns limited China access is cutting producer profits.
December 19, 2025 01:05 PM
·
Weather-driven transportation disruptions can tighten logistics, affect basis levels, and delay grain movement during winter months.
December 19, 2025 12:55 PM
·
USDA Undersecretary Luke Lindberg outlines the Farm Bridge Assistance Program and responds to calls from lawmakers and ag leaders for more assistance and expanded trade opportunities for farmers.
December 19, 2025 12:46 PM
·
Callahan is no stranger to agricultural trade and has been with the U.S. Trade Representative’s office since 2016.
December 19, 2025 11:53 AM
·
Record ethanol production, coupled with stronger demand, supports corn use despite tighter margins elsewhere.
December 18, 2025 02:32 PM
·
