NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — U.S. ethanol production surged to a new record as stronger fuel demand and exports tightened inventories, offering supportive signals for corn demand. According to the Renewable Fuels Association, output for the week ending December 12 rose 2.4 percent to 1.13 million barrels per day, the highest level ever recorded.
Production ran 2.5 percent above the same week last year and nearly 6 percent above the three-year average. The four-week average also climbed, pushing the annualized production pace to about 17.2 billion gallons. At the same time, ethanol stocks declined modestly to 22.4 million barrels, falling below both year-ago levels and the three-year average, with inventories thinning in most regions.
Fuel demand showed notable improvement. Gasoline supplied to the market jumped more than 7 percent to a 15-week high, while refiner and blender ethanol use rose to a seven-week high. Export demand strengthened sharply, with weekly shipments climbing more than 50 percent to the strongest level since August.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Record ethanol production, coupled with stronger demand, supports corn use despite tighter margins elsewhere.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Specialist
Recent U.S.–China trade developments provided a small lift for soy markets, though most traders are waiting for concrete purchase data before making major moves.
November 04, 2025 12:34 PM
·
A strong corn export pull is supportive of bids; soybeans need steady vessel programs or fresh sales to firm cash.
November 04, 2025 10:47 AM
·
According to the new report, seven out of ten rural bankers support President Trump’s recent trade steps with China, expressing cautious optimism about future export potential.
November 03, 2025 01:36 PM
·
The WASDE/Crop Production combo will be the first full read on supply, demand, and yield that could move basis and hedging plans since the government shutdown more than a month ago.
November 03, 2025 09:34 AM
·
A rescheduled WASDE, China’s soybean squeeze, barge bottlenecks, and premium beef demand all collide this week — with cash decisions, basis, and risk plans on the line.
November 03, 2025 09:23 AM
·
China’s grain expansion model may be hitting its limit. Lower prices, high rents, and policy fatigue threaten future output — with ripple effects across global feed and oilseed markets.
November 02, 2025 05:06 AM
·
High milk production and soft retail demand are squeezing prices and margins — making careful feed and risk management essential through year-end.
November 01, 2025 06:54 AM
·
Market analyst and friend of the show, Shawn Hackett, says Brazil’s shifting use of crops for biofuel production is a significant factor.
October 31, 2025 01:17 PM
·
Farm Bureau Economist Faith Parum discusses key outcomes from the U.S.-China trade agreement and the benefits of expanding trade across Southeast Asia.
October 30, 2025 03:25 PM
·