Experts: Dairy industry outlook could be improving based on strong butter demand, herd number trends

Falling feed costs and strong demand for butter could be good news for dairy farmers looking to get their finances back on track.

Dairy production has changed drastically over the last two decades. Falling feed costs and strong demand for butter could be good news for dairy farmers looking to get their finances back on track.

Jared Hutchins with the University of Illinois joined us Friday on the Market Day Report for a closer look at that data. In a conversation with RFD-TV News, Hutchins discussed some of the main regional production growth trends he is seeing and what they mean for future dairy production decisions, surprises in cow number trends, and provided insights on if there are potential limits on how much the U.S. herd can grow considering numbers have started to level off.

Researchers at the University of Illinois looked at several key traditional and modern dairy areas. It was not until 2008 that modern areas came within reach of traditional ones. Milk yields stayed relatively close to one another until around 2015. Last year, the yield gap narrowed to less than 100 pounds, and since 2014, traditional dairy states have almost tripled their average herd size

Dairy analyst Sabrina Sharp told Brownfield Ag News the outlook for milk prices is getting better. Butter production is up 3.6 percent this year and domestic demand is up eight percent. While prices are going up, she notes, the spike is usually short-lived. She recommends the DRP insurance program, which can protect prices close to breaking even. Sharp says tightening milk production worldwide could help raise farmer returns soon.

Related Stories
Farmer and retired colonial Joe Ricker joined us to highlight Ag Safety Awareness Program Week, share his work supporting veterans and farmers, and offer guidance on making safety a year-round priority on the farm.
Claire Woeppel, Central Region Vice President with the National FFA Organization, joined us to discuss Alumni Day, the lasting impact of FFA supporters, and why honoring that legacy matters during National FFA Week.
Acre reporting is crucial to maximize specialty crop aid.

Marion is a digital content manager for RFD News and FarmHER + RanchHER. She started working for Rural Media Group in May 2022, bringing a decade of digital experience in broadcast media and some cooking experience to the team.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Mexico plans to release 202,000 acre-feet of water into the Rio Grande, offering temporary relief to South Texas farmers as Congress advances the PERMIT Act.
Analysts say that while low-income households are facing financial pressures, other middle- and higher-income consumers are helping fill the gap for retail beef demand.
Despite China’s sharp drop in grain purchases this year, new USDA export data this week shows that even some buying activity from the trade giant still moves the markets.
Tim and Sharyn Abbott of the Music City Celebration Sale recap the weekend’s premier auction, which drew top dairy breeders and buyers to Nashville again this year from across North America.
The bill to once again allow schools to offer whole milk and 2% milk will now go to President Trump for approval.
Plans are underway for the 27th annual Great Eastern Iowa Tractorcade, a June event celebrating farm heritage, tractor history, and rural traditions. Event manager Matt Kenney joins us to highlight the importance of commemorating farm heritage.
Agriculture Shows
Hosted by Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady and RFD News Markets Specialist Tony St. James, Commodity Talk delivers expert insight into the day’s ag commodity markets just before the CME opens. Only on RFD-TV and Rural Radio SiriusXM Channel 147.
A look at the news, weather and commodities headlines that drove agriculture markets in the past week.
Everything profits from prairie. Soil, air, water — and all kinds of life! Learn how you can improve your land with prairie restoration, cover crops and prairie strips, while growing your bottom line.
Special 3-part series tells the story of the Claas family’s legacy, which changed agriculture forever.