WASHINGTON, D.C. (RFD-TV) — Farm Credit Administration board members reviewed a quarterly update (PDF Version) indicating that U.S. agriculture is entering 2026 with mixed economic signals: low crop margins persist, while livestock profitability remains strong. The briefing also found the Farm Credit System financially sound, though credit stress is slowly increasing in select sectors.
The broader economy ended 2025 relatively stable, with GDP growth just above 2 percent and unemployment rising to 4.4 percent. Inflation eased but remains above the Federal Reserve’s target, even after three modest rate cuts. Elevated input costs, especially in services and manufacturing, continue to pressure margins.
In agriculture, bumper crops and weak commodity prices are squeezing grain and soybean producers, compounded by fertilizer costs and storage challenges. Livestock producers, by contrast, are benefiting from strong prices and favorable feed costs. The newly announced $12 billion in federal tariff-related assistance is expected to provide short-term relief, though most farm-bill payments will not arrive until late 2026.
The Farm Credit System reported $6.0 billion in year-to-date earnings through September, with capital rising to $84.3 billion. While loan quality remains solid overall, nonperforming assets edged higher, reflecting early stress among some borrowers.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Strong Farm Credit finances help cushion producers, but prolonged low crop margins could strain renewals in 2026.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Specialist
Livestock Conservancy Senior Program Manager Jeannette Beranger explains the upcoming poultry census and ongoing efforts to preserve rare and heritage poultry breeds raised across the U.S.
February 13, 2026 02:20 PM
·
Alliant Chairman of Agriculture and former U.S. Ag Secretary Mike Johanns explains the R&D Tax Credit, the recent Tax Court ruling, and ways livestock producers and agribusinesses can qualify.
February 13, 2026 01:51 PM
·
Nitrogen and phosphate markets are tightening ahead of spring, keeping fertilizer costs elevated while crop prices lag.
February 13, 2026 08:00 AM
·
In the U.S. and Canada, reduced planted acres—not yield losses—led to a decline in potato production, while Mexico saw modest gains due to increased yields and harvested areas.
February 12, 2026 05:11 PM
·
RealAg Radio host Shaun Haney talks about the U.S. House’s latest vote to roll back tariffs on Canada and the ongoing discussions surrounding North American trade.
February 12, 2026 05:02 PM
·
AFBF Economist Samantha Ayoub discusses the latest data on Chapter 12 farm bankruptcy filings and what the troubling trend signals for the farm economy. At the same time, bigger loans and higher rates are squeezing working capital and increasing financial risk.
February 12, 2026 04:26 PM
·
